Serie A·Regular Season - 10·
Serie A·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.572.89safe0.35–2.290.71–2.421.06–4.71safer0.10–2.540.48–2.650.58–5.19
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.749.01safe2.40–6.133.00–6.485.40–12.61safer1.91–6.622.53–6.954.45–13.57
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2514.1627.41safe9.33–17.1810.59–17.7219.92–34.90safer8.24–18.279.63–18.6817.87–36.95
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.168.8917.04safe5.22–11.106.21–11.5711.42–22.67safer4.39–11.935.47–12.309.85–24.23
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.723.897.60safe1.83–5.602.23–5.544.07–11.14safer1.29–6.141.74–6.033.03–12.17
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.1210.13safe2.79–7.223.12–7.125.92–14.34safer2.22–7.802.59–7.654.81–15.45
Possession %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction54.6845.56safe47.89–61.4738.78–52.35safer46.22–63.1437.11–54.02
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction478401879safe410–545335–467745–1012safer392–563317–485709–1048
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction84.4577.47safe80.42–88.4873.15–81.80safer79.13–89.7871.84–83.11
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3614.1525.51safe8.52–14.2011.21–17.1019.73–31.30safer7.77–14.9510.46–17.8518.23–32.80
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.272.78safe0.34–2.660.18–2.370.52–5.03safer0.04–2.960.00–2.650.00–5.62
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.213.99safe0.73–2.831.08–3.341.81–6.17safer0.46–3.090.79–3.631.25–6.72
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.066.33safe1.83–4.711.51–4.623.34–9.32safer1.45–5.091.08–5.042.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 4.74 3.00–6.48 2.53–6.95 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.25 9.33–17.18 8.24–18.27 | 14.16 10.59–17.72 9.63–18.68 | 27.41 19.92–34.90 17.87–36.95 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.16 5.22–11.10 4.39–11.93 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.30 | 17.04 11.42–22.67 9.85–24.23 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.83–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 3.89 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.60 4.07–11.14 3.03–12.17 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.80 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.65 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 54.68 47.89–61.47 46.22–63.14 | 45.56 38.78–52.35 37.11–54.02 | — | 68% 27% |
| Passes | 478 410–545 392–563 | 401 335–467 317–485 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.45 80.42–88.48 79.13–89.78 | 77.47 73.15–81.80 71.84–83.11 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.52–14.20 7.77–14.95 | 14.15 11.21–17.10 10.46–17.85 | 25.51 19.73–31.30 18.23–32.80 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.65 | 2.78 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.72 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.71 1.45–5.09 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.