Serie A·Regular Season - 21·
Serie A·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.972.57safe0.63–2.570.11–1.820.74–4.39safer0.38–2.820.00–2.050.26–4.87
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.668.82safe3.29–7.021.92–5.405.21–12.42safer2.80–7.511.45–5.874.26–13.38
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3610.3526.71safe12.44–20.296.78–13.9119.22–34.20safer11.35–21.385.82–14.8717.17–36.25
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.726.5417.26safe7.78–13.663.86–9.2211.63–22.88safer6.95–14.493.12–9.9610.07–24.45
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.117.71safe2.72–6.491.46–4.764.18–11.25safer2.18–7.030.96–5.253.14–12.28
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.919.80safe3.68–8.111.91–5.915.59–14.01safer3.11–8.681.37–6.444.48–15.12
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction48.4551.02safe41.66–55.2444.24–57.81safer39.99–56.9142.56–59.48
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction420462882safe353–487395–528748–1015safer334–505378–546712–1051
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction78.9982.18safe74.96–83.0277.86–86.50safer73.67–84.3176.55–87.81
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6511.3324.98safe10.81–16.498.38–14.2719.20–30.76safer10.06–17.247.63–15.0217.69–32.26
Offsides
40%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.322.78safe0.30–2.620.23–2.420.53–5.03safer0.00–2.920.00–2.700.00–5.62
Yellow cards
37%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.114.10safe0.94–3.040.98–3.241.92–6.28safer0.67–3.300.69–3.531.36–6.83
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.836.32safe1.05–3.922.28–5.393.33–9.31safer0.66–4.311.85–5.822.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.57 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 8.82 5.21–12.42 4.26–13.38 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.36 12.44–20.29 11.35–21.38 | 10.35 6.78–13.91 5.82–14.87 | 26.71 19.22–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.66 6.95–14.49 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 17.26 11.63–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.96–5.25 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.37–6.44 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 48.45 41.66–55.24 39.99–56.91 | 51.02 44.24–57.81 42.56–59.48 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 462 395–528 378–546 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.99 74.96–83.02 73.67–84.31 | 82.18 77.86–86.50 76.55–87.81 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 11.33 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 24.98 19.20–30.76 17.69–32.26 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.70 | 2.78 0.53–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 40% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.82 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+