Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.982.91safe0.00–1.891.13–2.841.08–4.73safer0.00–2.140.90–3.070.60–5.21
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.115.608.71safe1.25–4.983.85–7.345.11–12.32safer0.76–5.473.39–7.814.15–13.27
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7215.3424.07safe4.80–12.6511.78–18.9116.58–31.55safer3.71–13.7410.82–19.8714.53–33.60
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6810.1015.78safe2.74–8.627.42–12.7810.15–21.40safer1.91–9.456.68–13.518.59–22.97
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.156.47safe0.43–4.202.50–5.802.93–10.00safer0.00–4.742.00–6.291.89–11.04
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.505.478.98safe1.29–5.713.47–7.474.76–13.19safer0.71–6.292.94–8.013.66–14.30
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction41.1860.30safe34.39–47.9753.51–67.08safer32.72–49.6451.84–68.75
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction378549928safe311–446483–616794–1061safer293–464465–633758–1097
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction74.6482.00safe70.61–78.6777.68–86.33safer69.32–79.9676.37–87.64
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1513.1325.28safe9.32–14.9910.18–16.0719.50–31.06safer8.56–15.759.43–16.8218.00–32.57
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.434.02safe0.42–2.741.34–3.531.76–6.27safer0.12–3.041.05–3.821.17–6.86
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.884.04safe1.11–3.210.75–3.011.86–6.22safer0.84–3.470.46–3.301.30–6.77
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.265.96safe2.26–5.140.70–3.812.96–8.95safer1.88–5.520.28–4.242.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 1.98 1.13–2.84 0.90–3.07 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 5.60 3.85–7.34 3.39–7.81 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 8.72 4.80–12.65 3.71–13.74 | 15.34 11.78–18.91 10.82–19.87 | 24.07 16.58–31.55 14.53–33.60 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.68 2.74–8.62 1.91–9.45 | 10.10 7.42–12.78 6.68–13.51 | 15.78 10.15–21.40 8.59–22.97 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.32 0.43–4.20 0.00–4.74 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 6.47 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.04 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.50 1.29–5.71 0.71–6.29 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.01 | 8.98 4.76–13.19 3.66–14.30 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 41.18 34.39–47.97 32.72–49.64 | 60.30 53.51–67.08 51.84–68.75 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 549 483–616 465–633 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.64 70.61–78.67 69.32–79.96 | 82.00 77.68–86.33 76.37–87.64 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.32–14.99 8.56–15.75 | 13.13 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.82 | 25.28 19.50–31.06 18.00–32.57 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 2.43 1.34–3.53 1.05–3.82 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.77 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.14 1.88–5.52 | 2.26 0.70–3.81 0.28–4.24 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.