Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.772.97safe1.23–3.170.00–1.621.15–4.79safer0.98–3.420.00–1.850.67–5.27
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.692.649.34safe4.83–8.560.90–4.395.73–12.94safer4.34–9.050.43–4.854.78–13.90
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction17.647.8725.51safe13.71–21.564.31–11.4318.02–32.99safer12.62–22.663.35–12.3915.97–35.05
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.614.8517.46safe9.67–15.552.17–7.5311.84–23.08safer8.84–16.381.43–8.2710.27–24.65
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.001.956.95safe3.12–6.880.29–3.603.41–10.49safer2.58–7.430.00–4.092.38–11.52
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.0210.01safe4.78–9.201.02–5.025.80–14.22safer4.20–9.780.49–5.554.69–15.33
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8437.75safe55.05–68.6330.96–44.53safer53.38–70.3029.29–46.20
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction582358940safe514–649292–425806–1073safer496–667274–442770–1109
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction83.2472.87safe79.21–87.2768.55–77.20safer77.92–88.5667.24–78.51
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8112.3824.19safe8.98–14.659.44–15.3318.41–29.98safer8.22–15.418.69–16.0716.91–31.48
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.701.464.16safe1.54–3.860.37–2.551.91–6.41safer1.24–4.160.08–2.841.32–7.00
Yellow cards
23%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.133.42safe0.24–2.341.00–3.261.24–5.60safer0.00–2.610.71–3.550.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.844.196.03safe0.41–3.282.64–5.753.04–9.03safer0.02–3.672.21–6.172.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.56 4.34–9.05 | 2.64 0.90–4.39 0.43–4.85 | 9.34 5.73–12.94 4.78–13.90 | 88% |
| Total shots | 17.64 13.71–21.56 12.62–22.66 | 7.87 4.31–11.43 3.35–12.39 | 25.51 18.02–32.99 15.97–35.05 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.61 9.67–15.55 8.84–16.38 | 4.85 2.17–7.53 1.43–8.27 | 17.46 11.84–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.12–6.88 2.58–7.43 | 1.95 0.29–3.60 0.00–4.09 | 6.95 3.41–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 84% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.78–9.20 4.20–9.78 | 3.02 1.02–5.02 0.49–5.55 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.84 55.05–68.63 53.38–70.30 | 37.75 30.96–44.53 29.29–46.20 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 582 514–649 496–667 | 358 292–425 274–442 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.24 79.21–87.27 77.92–88.56 | 72.87 68.55–77.20 67.24–78.51 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.98–14.65 8.22–15.41 | 12.38 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.07 | 24.19 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.70 1.54–3.86 1.24–4.16 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 4.16 1.91–6.41 1.32–7.00 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 23% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.84 0.41–3.28 0.02–3.67 | 4.19 2.64–5.75 2.21–6.17 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.