Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.833.08safe1.29–3.220.00–1.681.26–4.91safer1.04–3.480.00–1.910.78–5.38
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.322.8610.18safe5.46–9.181.12–4.606.58–13.79safer4.97–9.670.65–5.075.62–14.74
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.058.1329.17safe17.12–24.974.56–11.6921.68–36.66safer16.03–26.063.60–12.6519.63–38.71
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.814.6718.48safe10.87–16.761.99–7.3512.86–24.11safer10.04–17.591.25–8.0911.29–25.67
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.392.247.64safe3.51–7.280.59–3.904.10–11.17safer2.97–7.820.10–4.393.06–12.21
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.352.9310.28safe5.14–9.570.93–4.936.07–14.50safer4.57–10.140.40–5.464.96–15.60
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.4342.66safe49.64–63.2235.87–49.44safer47.97–64.8934.20–51.11
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction544416960safe477–611350–482826–1094safer458–629332–500790–1129
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction83.4778.24safe79.44–87.5073.92–82.57safer78.15–88.7972.61–83.87
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2310.0424.28safe11.39–17.077.10–12.9918.49–30.06safer10.64–17.836.35–13.7416.99–31.56
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.543.34safe0.64–2.960.44–2.631.09–5.59safer0.34–3.260.15–2.920.50–6.18
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.263.93safe0.62–2.721.13–3.391.75–6.11safer0.35–2.980.84–3.681.19–6.66
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.886.87safe0.56–3.433.32–6.443.88–9.86safer0.17–3.812.90–6.863.07–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.22 1.04–3.48 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.38 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.32 5.46–9.18 4.97–9.67 | 2.86 1.12–4.60 0.65–5.07 | 10.18 6.58–13.79 5.62–14.74 | 90% |
| Total shots | 21.05 17.12–24.97 16.03–26.06 | 8.13 4.56–11.69 3.60–12.65 | 29.17 21.68–36.66 19.63–38.71 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.81 10.87–16.76 10.04–17.59 | 4.67 1.99–7.35 1.25–8.09 | 18.48 12.86–24.11 11.29–25.67 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.39 3.51–7.28 2.97–7.82 | 2.24 0.59–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.21 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.35 5.14–9.57 4.57–10.14 | 2.93 0.93–4.93 0.40–5.46 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 89% |
| Possession % | 56.43 49.64–63.22 47.97–64.89 | 42.66 35.87–49.44 34.20–51.11 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 458–629 | 416 350–482 332–500 | 960 826–1094 790–1129 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.47 79.44–87.50 78.15–88.79 | 78.24 73.92–82.57 72.61–83.87 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 14.23 11.39–17.07 10.64–17.83 | 10.04 7.10–12.99 6.35–13.74 | 24.28 18.49–30.06 16.99–31.56 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.66 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.81 | 4.88 3.32–6.44 2.90–6.86 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.07–10.67 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.