Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.253.32safe0.10–2.041.40–3.101.50–5.15safer0.00–2.291.17–3.331.02–5.62
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.555.999.54safe1.69–5.424.24–7.735.93–13.14safer1.20–5.903.78–8.194.98–14.10
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3116.8827.19safe6.38–14.2313.32–20.4519.70–34.68safer5.29–15.3212.36–21.4017.65–36.73
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1311.1917.31safe3.19–9.078.51–13.8711.69–22.94safer2.36–9.907.77–14.6110.12–24.50
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.794.697.48safe0.91–4.673.04–6.353.95–11.02safer0.36–5.212.55–6.842.91–12.05
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.849.32safe1.26–5.693.84–7.845.10–13.53safer0.69–6.263.31–8.373.99–14.64
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction45.2356.27safe38.44–52.0249.49–63.06safer36.77–53.6947.81–64.73
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction426523948safe358–493456–589815–1082safer340–511439–607779–1118
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction79.0182.44safe74.98–83.0478.11–86.76safer73.69–84.3376.81–88.07
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8914.6625.55safe8.06–13.7311.71–17.6019.77–31.33safer7.30–14.4910.96–18.3518.26–32.84
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.613.37safe0.60–2.920.52–2.701.12–5.63safer0.30–3.220.23–2.990.53–6.22
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.194.10safe0.86–2.961.06–3.321.92–6.28safer0.60–3.230.77–3.611.36–6.84
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.566.55safe2.56–5.431.00–4.123.56–9.55safer2.17–5.820.58–4.542.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.25 1.40–3.10 1.17–3.33 | 3.32 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.62 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.42 1.20–5.90 | 5.99 4.24–7.73 3.78–8.19 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 10.31 6.38–14.23 5.29–15.32 | 16.88 13.32–20.45 12.36–21.40 | 27.19 19.70–34.68 17.65–36.73 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.19–9.07 2.36–9.90 | 11.19 8.51–13.87 7.77–14.61 | 17.31 11.69–22.94 10.12–24.50 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.36–5.21 | 4.69 3.04–6.35 2.55–6.84 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 3.47 1.26–5.69 0.69–6.26 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.31–8.37 | 9.32 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.64 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 45.23 38.44–52.02 36.77–53.69 | 56.27 49.49–63.06 47.81–64.73 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 426 358–493 340–511 | 523 456–589 439–607 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.01 74.98–83.04 73.69–84.33 | 82.44 78.11–86.76 76.81–88.07 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 14.66 11.71–17.60 10.96–18.35 | 25.55 19.77–31.33 18.26–32.84 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.84 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.56–5.43 2.17–5.82 | 2.56 1.00–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 6.55 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.