Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.222.78safe0.59–2.520.37–2.080.95–4.60safer0.33–2.770.14–2.310.47–5.08
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.419.61safe3.33–7.062.67–6.156.00–13.21safer2.84–7.552.20–6.625.05–14.17
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0214.0331.06safe13.10–20.9510.47–17.6023.57–38.55safer12.01–22.049.51–18.5521.52–40.60
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.578.4918.06safe6.63–12.515.81–11.1712.43–23.68safer5.80–13.345.07–11.9110.87–25.25
Blocked shots
54%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.247.28safe2.16–5.921.59–4.903.75–10.82safer1.61–6.471.10–5.392.71–11.85
Corners
54%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.9810.75safe3.56–7.992.98–6.986.54–14.96safer2.99–8.562.44–7.515.43–16.07
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.1044.71safe48.31–61.8937.92–51.49safer46.64–63.5636.25–53.17
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction485383868safe418–553317–449735–1002safer400–571299–467699–1038
Pass accuracy %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction83.5377.92safe79.50–87.5673.60–82.24safer78.21–88.8572.29–83.55
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1512.1423.28safe8.31–13.989.19–15.0817.50–29.07safer7.55–14.748.44–15.8316.00–30.57
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.362.91safe0.39–2.710.26–2.450.65–5.16safer0.09–3.010.00–2.740.06–5.75
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.023.73safe0.66–2.760.89–3.151.55–5.91safer0.39–3.020.60–3.440.99–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.596.59safe1.56–4.432.04–5.153.60–9.58safer1.17–4.821.61–5.572.79–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 4.41 2.67–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.10–20.95 12.01–22.04 | 14.03 10.47–17.60 9.51–18.55 | 31.06 23.57–38.55 21.52–40.60 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 18.06 12.43–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.61–6.47 | 3.24 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 54% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.44–7.51 | 10.75 6.54–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 54% 35% |
| Possession % | 55.10 48.31–61.89 46.64–63.56 | 44.71 37.92–51.49 36.25–53.17 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 383 317–449 299–467 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.53 79.50–87.56 78.21–88.85 | 77.92 73.60–82.24 72.29–83.55 | — | 75% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.15 8.31–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 12.14 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 23.28 17.50–29.07 16.00–30.57 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.47 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.59 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.39 | 33% 15% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.