Serie A·Regular Season - 11·
Serie A·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.442.50safe0.10–2.030.58–2.290.68–4.33safer0.00–2.290.36–2.520.20–4.81
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.568.39safe1.97–5.692.81–6.304.78–11.99safer1.48–6.182.35–6.773.83–12.95
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9912.7224.72safe8.07–15.929.16–16.2917.23–32.20safer6.98–17.018.20–17.2515.18–34.25
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.338.3915.72safe4.39–10.275.71–11.0710.10–21.35safer3.56–11.104.97–11.818.53–22.91
Blocked shots
40%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.496.82safe1.45–5.211.84–5.153.28–10.36safer0.90–5.751.35–5.642.25–11.39
Corners
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.728.99safe2.05–6.482.72–6.724.78–13.20safer1.48–7.052.19–7.263.67–14.31
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0354.27safe39.23–52.8247.48–61.05safer37.57–54.4945.81–62.73
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction397485882safe330–464419–552748–1016safer311–482401–569713–1051
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction71.6176.51safe67.58–75.6472.19–80.84safer66.29–76.9370.88–82.15
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2113.7724.98safe8.37–14.0510.82–16.7119.20–30.76safer7.62–14.8110.07–17.4617.69–32.27
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.462.89safe0.27–2.590.37–2.560.64–5.15safer0.00–2.890.08–2.840.05–5.74
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.943.80safe0.82–2.920.81–3.061.62–5.98safer0.55–3.180.52–3.361.07–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.865.91safe1.61–4.481.31–4.422.91–8.90safer1.22–4.870.88–4.842.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.29 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.36–2.52 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.83 1.97–5.69 1.48–6.18 | 4.56 2.81–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 8.39 4.78–11.99 3.83–12.95 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.07–15.92 6.98–17.01 | 12.72 9.16–16.29 8.20–17.25 | 24.72 17.23–32.20 15.18–34.25 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.33 4.39–10.27 3.56–11.10 | 8.39 5.71–11.07 4.97–11.81 | 15.72 10.10–21.35 8.53–22.91 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.21 0.90–5.75 | 3.49 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 6.82 3.28–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 40% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 8.99 4.78–13.20 3.67–14.31 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 46.03 39.23–52.82 37.57–54.49 | 54.27 47.48–61.05 45.81–62.73 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 311–482 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 882 748–1016 713–1051 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.61 67.58–75.64 66.29–76.93 | 76.51 72.19–80.84 70.88–82.15 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.05 7.62–14.81 | 13.77 10.82–16.71 10.07–17.46 | 24.98 19.20–30.76 17.69–32.27 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 2.89 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.91 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 45% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+