Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.662.61safe0.00–1.920.81–2.520.79–4.43safer0.00–2.170.58–2.740.31–4.91
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.978.24safe1.41–5.133.23–6.714.64–11.85safer0.92–5.622.76–7.183.68–12.80
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8815.2825.16safe5.96–13.8011.72–18.8517.68–32.65safer4.86–14.9010.76–19.8115.63–34.70
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction5.949.0214.95safe2.99–8.886.34–11.709.33–20.58safer2.16–9.715.60–12.447.76–22.14
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.474.306.77safe0.58–4.352.65–5.953.23–10.30safer0.04–4.892.15–6.442.19–11.34
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.359.05safe1.49–5.913.35–7.354.84–13.26safer0.91–6.492.81–7.883.73–14.37
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.3564.07safe28.56–42.1457.28–70.85safer26.89–43.8155.61–72.52
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction333587920safe266–400520–653786–1054safer248–418503–671751–1089
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction72.8487.61safe68.81–76.8783.28–91.93safer67.52–78.1681.97–93.24
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8211.0622.88safe8.98–14.668.11–14.0017.10–28.66safer8.23–15.417.36–14.7515.59–30.16
Offsides
58%
18%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.631.704.32safe1.47–3.790.60–2.792.07–6.58safer1.17–4.090.32–3.081.48–7.17
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.964.20safe1.19–3.280.84–3.092.02–6.38safer0.92–3.550.54–3.381.46–6.94
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
55%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.345.52safe1.74–4.610.79–3.902.53–8.51safer1.35–5.000.36–4.321.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 21% 24% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.41–5.13 0.92–5.62 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 8.24 4.64–11.85 3.68–12.80 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 9.88 5.96–13.80 4.86–14.90 | 15.28 11.72–18.85 10.76–19.81 | 25.16 17.68–32.65 15.63–34.70 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 5.94 2.99–8.88 2.16–9.71 | 9.02 6.34–11.70 5.60–12.44 | 14.95 9.33–20.58 7.76–22.14 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.47 0.58–4.35 0.04–4.89 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.19–11.34 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.70 1.49–5.91 0.91–6.49 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.81–7.88 | 9.05 4.84–13.26 3.73–14.37 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 35.35 28.56–42.14 26.89–43.81 | 64.07 57.28–70.85 55.61–72.52 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 333 266–400 248–418 | 587 520–653 503–671 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.84 68.81–76.87 67.52–78.16 | 87.61 83.28–91.93 81.97–93.24 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.66 8.23–15.41 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.16 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.63 1.47–3.79 1.17–4.09 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 4.32 2.07–6.58 1.48–7.17 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 1.96 0.84–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.94 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 2.34 0.79–3.90 0.36–4.32 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 55% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.