Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.842.77safe0.96–2.900.00–1.690.94–4.59safer0.71–3.150.00–1.920.47–5.07
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.932.808.73safe4.06–7.791.06–4.555.12–12.33safer3.57–8.280.60–5.014.17–13.29
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.458.5025.95safe13.53–21.384.94–12.0618.46–33.44safer12.44–22.473.98–13.0216.41–35.49
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.675.7016.37safe7.73–13.613.02–8.3810.75–22.00safer6.90–14.442.28–9.129.18–23.56
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.672.186.85safe2.78–6.550.53–3.843.31–10.38safer2.24–7.090.04–4.332.28–11.42
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.259.73safe4.27–8.701.25–5.255.52–13.95safer3.70–9.270.71–5.784.41–15.05
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5735.35safe58.78–72.3628.57–42.14safer57.11–74.0326.90–43.81
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction627340966safe559–694273–406833–1100safer541–712256–424797–1136
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction88.8175.80safe84.78–92.8471.48–80.13safer83.49–94.1370.17–81.44
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8811.7822.66safe8.04–13.718.83–14.7216.87–28.44safer7.28–14.478.08–15.4715.37–29.94
Offsides
29%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.384.16safe0.61–2.931.29–3.481.90–6.41safer0.31–3.231.00–3.761.31–7.00
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.113.66safe0.50–2.600.98–3.241.48–5.84safer0.23–2.860.69–3.530.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
16%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.795.79safe0.56–3.432.24–5.352.80–8.78safer0.17–3.821.81–5.771.99–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 2.80 1.06–4.55 0.60–5.01 | 8.73 5.12–12.33 4.17–13.29 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.45 13.53–21.38 12.44–22.47 | 8.50 4.94–12.06 3.98–13.02 | 25.95 18.46–33.44 16.41–35.49 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.28–9.12 | 16.37 10.75–22.00 9.18–23.56 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.78–6.55 2.24–7.09 | 2.18 0.53–3.84 0.04–4.33 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.27–8.70 3.70–9.27 | 3.25 1.25–5.25 0.71–5.78 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 81% |
| Possession % | 65.57 58.78–72.36 57.11–74.03 | 35.35 28.57–42.14 26.90–43.81 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 627 559–694 541–712 | 340 273–406 256–424 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.81 84.78–92.84 83.49–94.13 | 75.80 71.48–80.13 70.17–81.44 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.47 | 22.66 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 2.38 1.29–3.48 1.00–3.76 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 29% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.39 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.79 2.24–5.35 1.81–5.77 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.59 | 16% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+