Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.822.97safe0.18–2.120.97–2.681.15–4.79safer0.00–2.370.74–2.900.67–5.27
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.449.49safe2.19–5.923.70–7.185.89–13.10safer1.70–6.413.23–7.654.93–14.05
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0114.5327.53safe9.08–16.9310.96–18.0920.05–35.02safer7.99–18.0210.00–19.0517.99–37.07
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.339.6918.02safe5.38–11.277.01–12.3712.40–23.64safer4.56–12.106.28–13.1110.83–25.21
Blocked shots
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.077.56safe1.61–5.382.41–5.724.03–11.10safer1.07–5.921.92–6.212.99–12.13
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.7610.51safe2.54–6.973.76–7.766.30–14.73safer1.97–7.543.23–8.295.19–15.84
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.8960.34safe33.10–46.6853.56–67.13safer31.43–48.3551.89–68.80
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction364528892safe297–431462–595759–1026safer279–450444–612723–1062
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction79.0785.81safe75.04–83.1081.48–90.13safer73.75–84.3980.17–91.44
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.0624.61safe9.71–15.399.12–15.0118.83–30.39safer8.96–16.148.37–15.7617.33–31.90
Offsides
64%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.203.62safe1.26–3.580.10–2.291.36–5.87safer0.96–3.880.00–2.580.78–6.46
Yellow cards
44%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.563.39safe0.78–2.880.43–2.691.21–5.57safer0.51–3.140.14–2.980.65–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.452.936.38safe2.02–4.891.37–4.483.39–9.37safer1.63–5.280.95–4.912.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.82 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.90 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 5.44 3.70–7.18 3.23–7.65 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 13.01 9.08–16.93 7.99–18.02 | 14.53 10.96–18.09 10.00–19.05 | 27.53 20.05–35.02 17.99–37.07 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.33 5.38–11.27 4.56–12.10 | 9.69 7.01–12.37 6.28–13.11 | 18.02 12.40–23.64 10.83–25.21 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 4.07 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.29 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.84 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 39.89 33.10–46.68 31.43–48.35 | 60.34 53.56–67.13 51.89–68.80 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–450 | 528 462–595 444–612 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.07 75.04–83.10 73.75–84.39 | 85.81 81.48–90.13 80.17–91.44 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 12.06 9.12–15.01 8.37–15.76 | 24.61 18.83–30.39 17.33–31.90 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 64% 18% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 44% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.