Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.013.25safe1.27–3.210.16–1.871.43–5.07safer1.02–3.460.00–2.100.95–5.55
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.583.6610.24safe4.72–8.441.92–5.416.64–13.85safer4.23–8.931.46–5.875.68–14.80
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5310.4127.94safe13.60–21.456.85–13.9820.46–35.43safer12.51–22.555.89–14.9418.41–37.48
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.786.8418.62safe8.84–14.724.16–9.5213.00–24.25safer8.01–15.553.43–10.2611.43–25.81
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.407.08safe2.80–6.560.75–4.053.54–10.61safer2.25–7.110.25–4.542.51–11.65
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.7610.23safe4.26–8.691.76–5.766.02–14.45safer3.69–9.261.22–6.294.91–15.55
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.4036.26safe56.61–70.1929.47–43.04safer54.94–71.8627.80–44.71
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction594344937safe526–661277–410804–1071safer508–679260–428768–1107
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction88.1979.94safe84.16–92.2275.62–84.27safer82.87–93.5174.31–85.58
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2412.3723.61safe8.40–14.089.42–15.3117.83–29.39safer7.65–14.838.67–16.0616.32–30.89
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.893.15safe0.10–2.430.80–2.980.90–5.41safer0.00–2.730.51–3.270.31–6.00
Yellow cards
26%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.983.31safe0.28–2.370.85–3.111.13–5.48safer0.01–2.640.56–3.400.57–6.04
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.206.88safe1.24–4.112.65–5.763.89–9.87safer0.85–4.502.22–6.183.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.27–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.58 4.72–8.44 4.23–8.93 | 3.66 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 10.24 6.64–13.85 5.68–14.80 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.53 13.60–21.45 12.51–22.55 | 10.41 6.85–13.98 5.89–14.94 | 27.94 20.46–35.43 18.41–37.48 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.78 8.84–14.72 8.01–15.55 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.43–10.26 | 18.62 13.00–24.25 11.43–25.81 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.56 2.25–7.11 | 2.40 0.75–4.05 0.25–4.54 | 7.08 3.54–10.61 2.51–11.65 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.48 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.22–6.29 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 63.40 56.61–70.19 54.94–71.86 | 36.26 29.47–43.04 27.80–44.71 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 594 526–661 508–679 | 344 277–410 260–428 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.19 84.16–92.22 82.87–93.51 | 79.94 75.62–84.27 74.31–85.58 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.08 7.65–14.83 | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.89 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.26 0.10–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 26% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 4.20 2.65–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.88 3.89–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.