Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.602.48safe0.00–1.860.74–2.450.66–4.31safer0.00–2.110.51–2.680.18–4.79
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.938.05safe1.26–4.983.19–6.674.44–11.65safer0.77–5.472.72–7.143.49–12.61
Total shots
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8814.1624.04safe5.95–13.8010.60–17.7216.55–31.53safer4.86–14.899.64–18.6814.50–33.58
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.009.0615.06safe3.06–8.946.38–11.749.44–20.69safer2.23–9.775.65–12.487.87–22.25
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.746.56safe0.93–4.702.09–5.403.02–10.09safer0.39–5.241.60–5.891.98–11.13
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.059.09safe1.83–6.253.05–7.054.87–13.30safer1.25–6.832.51–7.583.77–14.41
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction42.5457.40safe35.75–49.3350.62–64.19safer34.08–51.0048.95–65.86
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction379515893safe312–446448–581760–1027safer293–464431–599724–1063
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction81.1086.68safe77.07–85.1382.35–91.00safer75.78–86.4281.04–92.31
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6213.8626.48safe9.78–15.4610.91–16.8020.70–32.26safer9.03–16.2210.17–17.5519.19–33.77
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.613.16safe0.39–2.710.52–2.700.91–5.42safer0.09–3.020.23–2.990.32–6.01
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.024.23safe1.16–3.260.90–3.152.05–6.41safer0.89–3.520.60–3.441.49–6.97
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
55%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.345.50safe1.73–4.600.78–3.892.51–8.49safer1.34–4.990.36–4.321.70–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.60 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 21% 25% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.98 0.77–5.47 | 4.93 3.19–6.67 2.72–7.14 | 8.05 4.44–11.65 3.49–12.61 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 9.88 5.95–13.80 4.86–14.89 | 14.16 10.60–17.72 9.64–18.68 | 24.04 16.55–31.53 14.50–33.58 | 16% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.00 3.06–8.94 2.23–9.77 | 9.06 6.38–11.74 5.65–12.48 | 15.06 9.44–20.69 7.87–22.25 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.81 0.93–4.70 0.39–5.24 | 3.74 2.09–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.98–11.13 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.04 1.83–6.25 1.25–6.83 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.51–7.58 | 9.09 4.87–13.30 3.77–14.41 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 42.54 35.75–49.33 34.08–51.00 | 57.40 50.62–64.19 48.95–65.86 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 293–464 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.10 77.07–85.13 75.78–86.42 | 86.68 82.35–91.00 81.04–92.31 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 12.62 9.78–15.46 9.03–16.22 | 13.86 10.91–16.80 10.17–17.55 | 26.48 20.70–32.26 19.19–33.77 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.02 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.89–3.52 | 2.02 0.90–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.97 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.34 0.78–3.89 0.36–4.32 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.30 | 55% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+