Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.870.852.72safe0.90–2.830.00–1.710.89–4.54safer0.65–3.090.00–1.930.42–5.02
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.868.75safe4.03–7.751.12–4.605.15–12.36safer3.54–8.240.65–5.074.19–13.31
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.748.9925.72safe12.81–20.665.42–12.5518.24–33.21safer11.72–21.754.47–13.5116.19–35.26
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.775.6917.46safe8.83–14.713.01–8.3711.84–23.09safer8.00–15.542.27–9.1110.27–24.65
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.316.91safe2.71–6.480.66–3.973.37–10.44safer2.17–7.020.17–4.462.34–11.48
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.549.53safe3.78–8.211.54–5.545.32–13.75safer3.21–8.781.01–6.074.21–14.85
Possession %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction57.3742.50safe50.58–64.1635.72–49.28safer48.91–65.8334.04–50.96
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction527380907safe459–594314–447773–1041safer441–612296–464738–1076
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction87.2182.24safe83.18–91.2477.92–86.56safer81.88–92.5376.61–87.87
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2612.2525.51safe10.43–16.109.30–15.1919.73–31.29safer9.67–16.868.56–15.9418.23–32.80
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.493.36safe0.71–3.030.40–2.581.10–5.61safer0.40–3.330.11–2.870.51–6.20
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.883.41safe0.49–2.590.75–3.001.23–5.59safer0.22–2.850.46–3.300.68–6.15
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.785.91safe0.69–3.562.22–5.342.91–8.90safer0.30–3.951.80–5.762.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.83 0.65–3.09 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.89 4.03–7.75 3.54–8.24 | 2.86 1.12–4.60 0.65–5.07 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.31 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.74 12.81–20.66 11.72–21.75 | 8.99 5.42–12.55 4.47–13.51 | 25.72 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.77 8.83–14.71 8.00–15.54 | 5.69 3.01–8.37 2.27–9.11 | 17.46 11.84–23.09 10.27–24.65 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.48 2.17–7.02 | 2.31 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.34–11.48 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.21 3.21–8.78 | 3.54 1.54–5.54 1.01–6.07 | 9.53 5.32–13.75 4.21–14.85 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.37 50.58–64.16 48.91–65.83 | 42.50 35.72–49.28 34.04–50.96 | — | 79% 17% |
| Passes | 527 459–594 441–612 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.21 83.18–91.24 81.88–92.53 | 82.24 77.92–86.56 76.61–87.87 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 13.26 10.43–16.10 9.67–16.86 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.56–15.94 | 25.51 19.73–31.29 18.23–32.80 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.46–3.30 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.78 2.22–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 5.91 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.