Serie A·Regular Season - 20·
Serie A·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.232.83safe0.63–2.570.38–2.091.01–4.65safer0.38–2.820.15–2.310.53–5.13
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.239.15safe3.06–6.782.48–5.975.54–12.75safer2.57–7.272.02–6.444.59–13.71
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1412.7126.84safe10.21–18.069.14–16.2719.36–34.33safer9.12–19.158.18–17.2317.31–36.38
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.448.3817.82safe6.50–12.395.70–11.0612.20–23.45safer5.67–13.224.96–11.8010.63–25.01
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.267.18safe2.03–5.791.61–4.923.64–10.71safer1.49–6.341.12–5.412.61–11.75
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.034.1610.18safe3.81–8.242.16–6.165.97–14.40safer3.24–8.811.62–6.694.86–15.50
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3641.89safe51.57–65.1535.11–48.68safer49.90–66.8233.43–50.35
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction551389941safe484–619323–456807–1074safer466–637305–473771–1110
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction78.6772.49safe74.64–82.7068.16–76.81safer73.35–83.9966.86–78.12
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.7122.76safe8.21–13.898.77–14.6616.98–28.54safer7.46–14.648.02–15.4015.47–30.05
Offsides
45%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.282.91safe0.46–2.780.19–2.380.65–5.16safer0.16–3.080.00–2.670.06–5.75
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.953.54safe0.54–2.640.82–3.081.36–5.72safer0.28–2.910.53–3.370.81–6.28
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.266.07safe1.37–4.251.70–4.813.07–9.06safer0.99–4.631.28–5.242.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.31 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.06–6.78 2.57–7.27 | 4.23 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.14 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 12.71 9.14–16.27 8.18–17.23 | 26.84 19.36–34.33 17.31–36.38 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.50–12.39 5.67–13.22 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 17.82 12.20–23.45 10.63–25.01 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.49–6.34 | 3.26 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.61–11.75 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.62–6.69 | 10.18 5.97–14.40 4.86–15.50 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 58.36 51.57–65.15 49.90–66.82 | 41.89 35.11–48.68 33.43–50.35 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 551 484–619 466–637 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.67 74.64–82.70 73.35–83.99 | 72.49 68.16–76.81 66.86–78.12 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.89 7.46–14.64 | 11.71 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.40 | 22.76 16.98–28.54 15.47–30.05 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.28 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 45% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.25 0.99–4.63 | 3.26 1.70–4.81 1.28–5.24 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+