Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.222.89safe0.70–2.640.37–2.081.07–4.72safer0.45–2.890.14–2.310.59–5.20
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.279.43safe3.31–7.032.52–6.015.83–13.04safer2.82–7.522.06–6.474.87–13.99
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4312.0727.50safe11.50–19.358.50–15.6320.01–34.98safer10.41–20.457.55–16.5917.96–37.03
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.957.7616.71safe6.01–11.905.08–10.4411.09–22.33safer5.18–12.734.34–11.179.52–23.90
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.457.79safe2.46–6.221.79–5.104.25–11.32safer1.92–6.771.30–5.593.22–12.36
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.589.94safe3.15–7.572.58–6.585.73–14.15safer2.57–8.152.05–7.114.62–15.26
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.5743.06safe50.78–64.3636.27–49.84safer49.11–66.0334.60–51.51
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction503374877safe436–570308–440743–1011safer418–588290–458708–1046
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction85.9780.77safe81.94–90.0076.45–85.10safer80.65–91.2975.14–86.41
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8714.4026.27safe9.03–14.7111.45–17.3420.48–32.05safer8.28–15.4610.70–18.0918.98–33.55
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.342.76safe0.25–2.580.25–2.440.50–5.01safer0.00–2.880.00–2.720.00–5.60
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.163.69safe0.48–2.581.04–3.291.52–5.87safer0.21–2.840.74–3.580.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.566.65safe1.66–4.532.00–5.123.66–9.65safer1.27–4.921.58–5.542.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.03 2.82–7.52 | 4.27 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.47 | 9.43 5.83–13.04 4.87–13.99 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.43 11.50–19.35 10.41–20.45 | 12.07 8.50–15.63 7.55–16.59 | 27.50 20.01–34.98 17.96–37.03 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.01–11.90 5.18–12.73 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.17 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.92–6.77 | 3.45 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.57 2.57–8.15 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.11 | 9.94 5.73–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 57.57 50.78–64.36 49.11–66.03 | 43.06 36.27–49.84 34.60–51.51 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 418–588 | 374 308–440 290–458 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.97 81.94–90.00 80.65–91.29 | 80.77 76.45–85.10 75.14–86.41 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.03–14.71 8.28–15.46 | 14.40 11.45–17.34 10.70–18.09 | 26.27 20.48–32.05 18.98–33.55 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.25–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.72 | 2.76 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 2.16 1.04–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.56 2.00–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 6.65 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.