Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.390.912.29safe0.42–2.350.05–1.760.47–4.12safer0.17–2.610.00–1.990.00–4.60
Shots on target
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.448.08safe2.77–6.501.70–5.184.47–11.68safer2.28–6.991.23–5.653.52–12.64
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8510.8924.74safe9.92–17.777.33–14.4517.25–32.23safer8.83–18.876.37–15.4115.20–34.28
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.206.8116.01safe6.26–12.144.13–9.4910.39–21.64safer5.43–12.973.39–10.238.82–23.20
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.207.48safe2.39–6.151.55–4.863.94–11.01safer1.85–6.701.06–5.352.90–12.05
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.3710.00safe3.42–7.852.37–6.375.79–14.22safer2.84–8.421.84–6.914.68–15.33
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.7048.86safe44.91–58.4942.08–55.65safer43.24–60.1640.40–57.32
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction432408840safe365–499341–474706–973safer347–517324–492670–1009
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction76.1578.45safe72.12–80.1874.13–82.78safer70.82–81.4772.82–84.09
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9312.7024.64safe9.10–14.779.76–15.6518.86–30.42safer8.34–15.539.01–16.4017.35–31.93
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.803.67safe0.71–3.030.71–2.891.41–5.92safer0.40–3.330.42–3.180.82–6.51
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.053.76safe0.66–2.760.92–3.181.58–5.94safer0.39–3.020.63–3.471.02–6.49
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.255.68safe0.99–3.871.69–4.802.68–8.67safer0.61–4.251.26–5.231.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.29 0.47–4.12 0.00–4.60 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 3.44 1.70–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.87 | 10.89 7.33–14.45 6.37–15.41 | 24.74 17.25–32.23 15.20–34.28 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.26–12.14 5.43–12.97 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 16.01 10.39–21.64 8.82–23.20 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.85–6.70 | 3.20 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.05 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.85 2.84–8.42 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.91 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.33 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 51.70 44.91–58.49 43.24–60.16 | 48.86 42.08–55.65 40.40–57.32 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.15 72.12–80.18 70.82–81.47 | 78.45 74.13–82.78 72.82–84.09 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 12.70 9.76–15.65 9.01–16.40 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.35–31.93 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.87 0.61–4.25 | 3.25 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.23 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.