Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.420.932.36safe0.45–2.390.08–1.790.53–4.18safer0.20–2.640.00–2.020.05–4.66
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.518.19safe2.82–6.551.77–5.254.59–11.80safer2.33–7.041.30–5.723.63–12.75
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0510.9124.96safe10.12–17.977.35–14.4717.47–32.44safer9.03–19.066.39–15.4315.42–34.50
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.296.4815.76safe6.35–12.233.79–9.1610.14–21.39safer5.52–13.063.06–9.898.57–22.95
Blocked shots
53%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.187.04safe1.98–5.741.52–4.833.50–10.57safer1.43–6.281.03–5.322.46–11.61
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.6210.21safe3.38–7.812.62–6.626.00–14.42safer2.81–8.382.08–7.154.89–15.53
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0646.19safe47.27–60.8539.40–52.97safer45.60–62.5237.73–54.64
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction447380827safe380–515314–446694–961safer362–533296–464658–997
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction74.9174.97safe70.88–78.9470.65–79.30safer69.59–80.2369.34–80.61
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9713.3224.29safe8.13–13.8110.38–16.2718.51–30.07safer7.38–14.569.63–17.0217.01–31.58
Offsides
72%
14%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.241.444.68safe2.08–4.400.35–2.542.43–6.93safer1.78–4.700.06–2.821.84–7.52
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.953.47safe0.47–2.570.82–3.081.29–5.65safer0.20–2.830.53–3.370.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.225.66safe1.00–3.881.66–4.782.67–8.65safer0.62–4.261.24–5.201.86–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.36 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.55 2.33–7.04 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 8.19 4.59–11.80 3.63–12.75 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 24.96 17.47–32.44 15.42–34.50 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 6.48 3.79–9.16 3.06–9.89 | 15.76 10.14–21.39 8.57–22.95 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.61 | 53% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.08–7.15 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 54.06 47.27–60.85 45.60–62.52 | 46.19 39.40–52.97 37.73–54.64 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 447 380–515 362–533 | 380 314–446 296–464 | 827 694–961 658–997 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.91 70.88–78.94 69.59–80.23 | 74.97 70.65–79.30 69.34–80.61 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.81 7.38–14.56 | 13.32 10.38–16.27 9.63–17.02 | 24.29 18.51–30.07 17.01–31.58 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 3.24 2.08–4.40 1.78–4.70 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 4.68 2.43–6.93 1.84–7.52 | 72% 14% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.88 0.62–4.26 | 3.22 1.66–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.86–9.46 | 29% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+