Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.733.02safe1.32–3.260.00–1.581.19–4.84safer1.07–3.510.00–1.810.71–5.32
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.739.67safe5.07–8.800.99–4.486.06–13.27safer4.58–9.290.52–4.945.11–14.23
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.347.5826.93safe15.42–23.274.02–11.1519.44–34.41safer14.33–24.363.06–12.1117.39–36.47
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.484.4917.97safe10.54–16.421.81–7.1712.35–23.60safer9.71–17.251.08–7.9110.78–25.16
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.991.936.92safe3.11–6.870.28–3.583.39–10.46safer2.57–7.420.00–4.082.35–11.49
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.872.919.78safe4.66–9.080.91–4.915.57–13.99safer4.08–9.660.38–5.444.46–15.10
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.5143.58safe49.72–63.3136.80–50.37safer48.05–64.9735.13–52.04
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction518404922safe451–586338–470789–1056safer433–604320–488753–1092
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction83.5477.28safe79.51–87.5772.96–81.60safer78.22–88.8671.65–82.91
Fouls
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6511.0324.67safe10.81–16.488.08–13.9718.89–30.46safer10.05–17.247.34–14.7217.39–31.96
Offsides
66%
17%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.801.454.25safe1.64–3.960.36–2.542.00–6.51safer1.34–4.270.07–2.831.41–7.10
Yellow cards
26%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.983.30safe0.27–2.370.85–3.101.12–5.48safer0.01–2.640.56–3.400.56–6.03
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.596.45safe0.42–3.303.03–6.153.46–9.44safer0.04–3.682.61–6.572.65–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.32–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.02 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.94 5.07–8.80 4.58–9.29 | 2.73 0.99–4.48 0.52–4.94 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.34 15.42–23.27 14.33–24.36 | 7.58 4.02–11.15 3.06–12.11 | 26.93 19.44–34.41 17.39–36.47 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.48 10.54–16.42 9.71–17.25 | 4.49 1.81–7.17 1.08–7.91 | 17.97 12.35–23.60 10.78–25.16 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.87 2.57–7.42 | 1.93 0.28–3.58 0.00–4.08 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 84% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.66–9.08 4.08–9.66 | 2.91 0.91–4.91 0.38–5.44 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 87% |
| Possession % | 56.51 49.72–63.31 48.05–64.97 | 43.58 36.80–50.37 35.13–52.04 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 518 451–586 433–604 | 404 338–470 320–488 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.54 79.51–87.57 78.22–88.86 | 77.28 72.96–81.60 71.65–82.91 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.48 10.05–17.24 | 11.03 8.08–13.97 7.34–14.72 | 24.67 18.89–30.46 17.39–31.96 | 66% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.80 1.64–3.96 1.34–4.27 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 4.25 2.00–6.51 1.41–7.10 | 66% 17% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.98 0.85–3.10 0.56–3.40 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.03 | 26% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 4.59 3.03–6.15 2.61–6.57 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.65–10.25 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.