Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.913.08safe1.20–3.140.06–1.771.26–4.91safer0.95–3.390.00–2.000.78–5.39
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.139.97safe4.98–8.701.39–4.886.37–13.58safer4.49–9.190.92–5.345.41–14.53
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.829.0427.85safe14.89–22.745.47–12.6020.37–35.34safer13.80–23.834.51–13.5618.32–37.39
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.465.2517.71safe9.52–15.402.57–7.9312.09–23.33safer8.69–16.231.83–8.6710.52–24.90
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.737.82safe3.21–6.971.07–4.384.28–11.35safer2.67–7.520.58–4.873.25–12.39
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.853.089.93safe4.64–9.061.08–5.085.72–14.15safer4.06–9.640.55–5.624.61–15.25
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.8345.43safe47.04–60.6238.64–52.21safer45.37–62.2936.97–53.88
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction505437942safe437–572371–503808–1075safer419–590353–521772–1111
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction81.5280.18safe77.49–85.5575.86–84.51safer76.20–86.8474.55–85.82
Fouls
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6810.1723.85safe10.85–16.527.23–13.1218.07–29.64safer10.09–17.286.48–13.8616.57–31.14
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.242.96safe0.55–2.870.15–2.340.70–5.21safer0.25–3.180.00–2.620.11–5.80
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.113.78safe0.62–2.710.99–3.241.60–5.96safer0.35–2.980.69–3.531.04–6.52
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.316.48safe0.74–3.612.76–5.873.49–9.48safer0.35–4.002.33–6.292.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.70 4.49–9.19 | 3.13 1.39–4.88 0.92–5.34 | 9.97 6.37–13.58 5.41–14.53 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.82 14.89–22.74 13.80–23.83 | 9.04 5.47–12.60 4.51–13.56 | 27.85 20.37–35.34 18.32–37.39 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.46 9.52–15.40 8.69–16.23 | 5.25 2.57–7.93 1.83–8.67 | 17.71 12.09–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.21–6.97 2.67–7.52 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.25–12.39 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.85 4.64–9.06 4.06–9.64 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.62 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 85% |
| Possession % | 53.83 47.04–60.62 45.37–62.29 | 45.43 38.64–52.21 36.97–53.88 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 505 437–572 419–590 | 437 371–503 353–521 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.52 77.49–85.55 76.20–86.84 | 80.18 75.86–84.51 74.55–85.82 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 13.68 10.85–16.52 10.09–17.28 | 10.17 7.23–13.12 6.48–13.86 | 23.85 18.07–29.64 16.57–31.14 | 73% 20% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 6.48 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.