Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.273.17safe0.93–2.860.42–2.131.34–4.99safer0.68–3.110.19–2.350.86–5.47
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.089.90safe3.96–7.692.33–5.826.29–13.50safer3.47–8.171.87–6.295.34–14.46
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2410.5125.75safe11.32–19.176.95–14.0718.26–33.24safer10.23–20.265.99–15.0316.21–35.29
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.267.1217.38safe7.32–13.204.44–9.8011.76–23.00safer6.49–14.033.70–10.5410.19–24.57
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.916.68safe1.88–5.651.26–4.573.14–10.21safer1.34–6.190.77–5.062.11–11.25
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.598.88safe3.07–7.501.59–5.594.66–13.09safer2.50–8.071.06–6.133.56–14.20
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.5347.57safe45.74–59.3240.78–54.35safer44.07–60.9939.11–56.03
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction508473981safe441–575406–539847–1115safer423–594389–557812–1151
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction88.1887.50safe84.15–92.2183.18–91.83safer82.86–93.5081.87–93.14
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.079.9120.99safe8.24–13.916.97–12.8615.21–26.77safer7.48–14.676.22–13.6113.70–28.27
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.931.764.69safe1.77–4.090.66–2.852.44–6.94safer1.47–4.390.37–3.141.85–7.53
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.073.85safe0.73–2.830.94–3.201.68–6.03safer0.47–3.100.65–3.491.12–6.59
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.696.48safe1.35–4.222.13–5.253.48–9.47safer0.96–4.611.71–5.672.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.11 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.35 | 3.17 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.82 3.96–7.69 3.47–8.17 | 4.08 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.34–14.46 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.24 11.32–19.17 10.23–20.26 | 10.51 6.95–14.07 5.99–15.03 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.32–13.20 6.49–14.03 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 2.91 1.26–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 6.68 3.14–10.21 2.11–11.25 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.13 | 8.88 4.66–13.09 3.56–14.20 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.53 45.74–59.32 44.07–60.99 | 47.57 40.78–54.35 39.11–56.03 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–594 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 981 847–1115 812–1151 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.18 84.15–92.21 82.86–93.50 | 87.50 83.18–91.83 81.87–93.14 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 9.91 6.97–12.86 6.22–13.61 | 20.99 15.21–26.77 13.70–28.27 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.93 1.77–4.09 1.47–4.39 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 4.69 2.44–6.94 1.85–7.53 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.69 2.13–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.48 3.48–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.