Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.002.55safe0.59–2.520.14–1.850.73–4.37safer0.34–2.770.00–2.080.25–4.85
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.388.57safe3.33–7.051.64–5.124.97–12.18safer2.84–7.541.17–5.594.01–13.13
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2611.1126.37safe11.34–19.187.54–14.6718.88–33.85safer10.24–20.286.58–15.6316.83–35.90
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.116.5916.70safe7.17–13.053.91–9.2711.08–22.33safer6.34–13.883.17–10.019.51–23.89
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.816.46safe1.76–5.531.16–4.472.92–9.99safer1.22–6.070.67–4.961.89–11.03
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.3910.15safe3.54–7.972.39–6.395.94–14.36safer2.97–8.541.86–6.934.83–15.47
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6146.53safe46.82–60.4039.74–53.31safer45.15–62.0738.07–54.98
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction439370809safe371–506304–437675–943safer353–524286–454640–978
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction81.4976.85safe77.46–85.5272.53–81.17safer76.17–86.8171.22–82.48
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.8525.64safe8.95–14.6210.91–16.8019.86–31.42safer8.19–15.3810.16–17.5518.35–32.93
Offsides
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.411.164.57safe2.25–4.570.07–2.252.32–6.82safer1.95–4.870.00–2.541.73–7.41
Yellow cards
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.873.29safe0.37–2.460.74–3.001.11–5.46safer0.10–2.730.45–3.290.55–6.02
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.555.97safe0.99–3.861.99–5.112.98–8.96safer0.60–4.251.57–5.532.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.77 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 50% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.05 2.84–7.54 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 8.57 4.97–12.18 4.01–13.13 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.26 11.34–19.18 10.24–20.28 | 11.11 7.54–14.67 6.58–15.63 | 26.37 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.90 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.11 7.17–13.05 6.34–13.88 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 16.70 11.08–22.33 9.51–23.89 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 2.81 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 6.46 2.92–9.99 1.89–11.03 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.93 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.61 46.82–60.40 45.15–62.07 | 46.53 39.74–53.31 38.07–54.98 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 439 371–506 353–524 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 809 675–943 640–978 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.49 77.46–85.52 76.17–86.81 | 76.85 72.53–81.17 71.22–82.48 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 13.85 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.55 | 25.64 19.86–31.42 18.35–32.93 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 3.41 2.25–4.57 1.95–4.87 | 1.16 0.07–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 4.57 2.32–6.82 1.73–7.41 | 80% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.37–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.29 1.11–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+