Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.132.77safe0.68–2.610.27–1.980.95–4.59safer0.42–2.860.05–2.210.47–5.07
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.758.71safe3.09–6.812.01–5.505.10–12.31safer2.60–7.301.55–5.964.15–13.27
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4910.8424.33safe9.57–17.427.27–14.4016.84–31.82safer8.48–18.516.32–15.3614.79–33.87
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.476.7316.20safe6.53–12.414.04–9.4110.57–21.82safer5.70–13.243.31–10.149.01–23.39
Blocked shots
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.896.46safe1.69–5.461.23–4.542.93–10.00safer1.15–6.000.74–5.031.89–11.03
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.908.97safe2.86–7.281.90–5.904.75–13.18safer2.28–7.861.36–6.433.65–14.29
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.6150.30safe42.82–56.4043.52–57.09safer41.15–58.0741.84–58.76
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction441443884safe374–508377–510750–1018safer355–526359–527715–1053
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction82.5882.80safe78.55–86.6178.48–87.13safer77.26–87.9077.17–88.44
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2211.6023.82safe9.39–15.068.65–14.5418.04–29.60safer8.63–15.827.90–15.2916.53–31.11
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.933.79safe0.70–3.020.83–3.021.53–6.04safer0.40–3.320.54–3.310.94–6.63
Yellow cards
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.943.51safe0.52–2.620.81–3.071.33–5.69safer0.25–2.880.52–3.360.77–6.24
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.455.99safe1.10–3.971.90–5.013.00–8.98safer0.71–4.361.47–5.432.19–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.68–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 49% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 3.75 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.96 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 13.49 9.57–17.42 8.48–18.51 | 10.84 7.27–14.40 6.32–15.36 | 24.33 16.84–31.82 14.79–33.87 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.53–12.41 5.70–13.24 | 6.73 4.04–9.41 3.31–10.14 | 16.20 10.57–21.82 9.01–23.39 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 53% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.36–6.43 | 8.97 4.75–13.18 3.65–14.29 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 49.61 42.82–56.40 41.15–58.07 | 50.30 43.52–57.09 41.84–58.76 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 355–526 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.58 78.55–86.61 77.26–87.90 | 82.80 78.48–87.13 77.17–88.44 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.39–15.06 8.63–15.82 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 23.82 18.04–29.60 16.53–31.11 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.79 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+