Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.462.75safe0.33–2.260.60–2.310.93–4.57safer0.07–2.510.37–2.540.45–5.05
Shots on target
46%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.524.338.85safe2.66–6.382.58–6.075.24–12.45safer2.17–6.872.12–6.544.29–13.41
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3011.9327.23safe11.38–19.238.37–15.4919.75–34.72safer10.29–20.327.41–16.4517.70–36.77
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.278.1017.37safe6.33–12.225.42–10.7811.75–22.99safer5.50–13.044.68–11.5110.18–24.56
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.377.84safe2.58–6.351.72–5.034.30–11.37safer2.04–6.891.23–5.523.27–12.41
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.529.76safe3.03–7.452.52–6.525.55–13.98safer2.45–8.031.99–7.064.44–15.08
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.1949.51safe43.40–56.9842.72–56.29safer41.73–58.6541.05–57.96
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction473483956safe406–540416–549822–1090safer388–559399–567787–1125
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction84.1480.27safe80.11–88.1775.95–84.60safer78.81–89.4674.64–85.91
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3612.3322.69safe7.52–13.209.38–15.2716.90–28.47safer6.77–13.958.63–16.0215.40–29.97
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.693.04safe0.19–2.510.60–2.780.79–5.30safer0.00–2.820.31–3.070.20–5.89
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.053.58safe0.48–2.580.92–3.181.40–5.76safer0.22–2.850.63–3.470.85–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.165.99safe1.39–4.261.60–4.722.99–8.98safer1.00–4.651.18–5.142.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.52 2.66–6.38 2.17–6.87 | 4.33 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 8.85 5.24–12.45 4.29–13.41 | 46% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.29–20.32 | 11.93 8.37–15.49 7.41–16.45 | 27.23 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.22 5.50–13.04 | 8.10 5.42–10.78 4.68–11.51 | 17.37 11.75–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.37 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.45 2.45–8.03 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.06 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.08 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.19 43.40–56.98 41.73–58.65 | 49.51 42.72–56.29 41.05–57.96 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 388–559 | 483 416–549 399–567 | 956 822–1090 787–1125 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.14 80.11–88.17 78.81–89.46 | 80.27 75.95–84.60 74.64–85.91 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.20 6.77–13.95 | 12.33 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 22.69 16.90–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.82 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.04 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.16 1.60–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.