Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.392.86safe0.50–2.440.54–2.241.04–4.68safer0.25–2.690.31–2.470.56–5.16
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.399.21safe2.95–6.682.65–6.145.61–12.82safer2.47–7.172.19–6.604.65–13.77
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8512.6027.45safe10.93–18.789.04–16.1719.97–34.94safer9.83–19.878.08–17.1217.92–36.99
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.708.4518.15safe6.76–12.645.77–11.1312.53–23.78safer5.93–13.475.03–11.8710.96–25.34
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.937.07safe2.26–6.021.28–4.593.54–10.61safer1.71–6.570.79–5.082.50–11.65
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.8310.60safe3.55–7.982.83–6.836.39–14.81safer2.98–8.552.30–7.375.28–15.92
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.9647.52safe46.17–59.7540.74–54.31safer44.50–61.4239.07–55.98
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction422359782safe355–490293–426648–916safer337–508276–443613–951
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction78.7275.60safe74.69–82.7571.27–79.92safer73.40–84.0569.96–81.23
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9012.9224.82safe9.06–14.749.97–15.8619.04–30.60safer8.31–15.499.22–16.6117.53–32.11
Offsides
15%
16%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.753.97safe0.06–2.381.66–3.841.72–6.23safer0.00–2.691.37–4.131.13–6.82
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.074.09safe0.97–3.060.94–3.201.91–6.27safer0.70–3.330.65–3.491.35–6.82
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.316.22safe1.47–4.341.75–4.873.22–9.21safer1.08–4.731.33–5.292.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.39 0.54–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.95–6.68 2.47–7.17 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 9.21 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.77 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.85 10.93–18.78 9.83–19.87 | 12.60 9.04–16.17 8.08–17.12 | 27.45 19.97–34.94 17.92–36.99 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.70 6.76–12.64 5.93–13.47 | 8.45 5.77–11.13 5.03–11.87 | 18.15 12.53–23.78 10.96–25.34 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.02 1.71–6.57 | 2.93 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.65 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 10.60 6.39–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 52.96 46.17–59.75 44.50–61.42 | 47.52 40.74–54.31 39.07–55.98 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 422 355–490 337–508 | 359 293–426 276–443 | 782 648–916 613–951 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.72 74.69–82.75 73.40–84.05 | 75.60 71.27–79.92 69.96–81.23 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.74 8.31–15.49 | 12.92 9.97–15.86 9.22–16.61 | 24.82 19.04–30.60 17.53–32.11 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.22 0.06–2.38 0.00–2.69 | 2.75 1.66–3.84 1.37–4.13 | 3.97 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 15% 16% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.97–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.35–6.82 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.31 1.75–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.