Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.312.48safe0.20–2.140.46–2.170.66–4.30safer0.00–2.390.23–2.400.18–4.78
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.408.43safe2.16–5.892.66–6.154.82–12.03safer1.67–6.382.20–6.613.87–12.99
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2312.7825.00safe8.30–16.159.22–16.3417.52–32.49safer7.21–17.248.26–17.3015.47–34.54
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.548.2115.75safe4.60–10.485.53–10.8910.13–21.37safer3.77–11.314.79–11.638.56–22.94
Blocked shots
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.286.90safe1.73–5.491.63–4.943.36–10.43safer1.18–6.041.14–5.432.32–11.47
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.0010.17safe2.96–7.393.00–7.005.96–14.39safer2.39–7.962.47–7.534.85–15.50
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.6948.92safe44.90–58.4842.14–55.71safer43.23–60.1540.47–57.38
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction477440917safe409–544374–506783–1050safer391–562356–524747–1086
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction84.5882.70safe80.56–88.6178.37–87.02safer79.26–89.9177.06–88.33
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2912.1323.42safe8.45–14.139.18–15.0717.64–29.20safer7.70–14.888.43–15.8216.13–30.71
Offsides
61%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.273.62safe1.19–3.510.18–2.361.37–5.88safer0.89–3.810.00–2.650.78–6.47
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.853.41safe0.51–2.610.73–2.981.24–5.59safer0.24–2.880.43–3.270.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.995.78safe1.36–4.231.43–4.542.79–8.77safer0.97–4.621.01–4.971.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 33% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.89 1.67–6.38 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 8.43 4.82–12.03 3.87–12.99 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.23 8.30–16.15 7.21–17.24 | 12.78 9.22–16.34 8.26–17.30 | 25.00 17.52–32.49 15.47–34.54 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.54 4.60–10.48 3.77–11.31 | 8.21 5.53–10.89 4.79–11.63 | 15.75 10.13–21.37 8.56–22.94 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.04 | 3.28 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.47 | 47% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.39 2.39–7.96 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.50 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 51.69 44.90–58.48 43.23–60.15 | 48.92 42.14–55.71 40.47–57.38 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 477 409–544 391–562 | 440 374–506 356–524 | 917 783–1050 747–1086 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.58 80.56–88.61 79.26–89.91 | 82.70 78.37–87.02 77.06–88.33 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.13 7.70–14.88 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.82 | 23.42 17.64–29.20 16.13–30.71 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.35 1.19–3.51 0.89–3.81 | 1.27 0.18–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 61% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.88 | 1.85 0.73–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.98–9.59 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.