Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
19%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.283.29safe0.04–1.981.42–3.131.47–5.11safer0.00–2.231.19–3.360.99–5.59
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.436.6810.12safe1.57–5.294.94–8.436.51–13.72safer1.08–5.784.48–8.895.56–14.68
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7016.4127.11safe6.77–14.6212.85–19.9819.63–34.60safer5.68–15.7211.89–20.9417.58–36.65
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0511.3518.40safe4.10–9.998.67–14.0312.77–24.02safer3.27–10.827.93–14.7711.21–25.59
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.004.677.68safe1.12–4.893.02–6.334.14–11.21safer0.58–5.432.53–6.823.11–12.25
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.095.599.68safe1.88–6.313.59–7.595.47–13.89safer1.31–6.883.05–8.124.36–15.00
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.9963.58safe30.20–43.7856.80–70.37safer28.53–45.4555.12–72.04
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction361601962safe294–428534–667828–1095safer276–446517–685792–1131
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction80.1489.10safe76.11–84.1784.77–93.42safer74.81–85.4683.46–94.73
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3310.3321.65safe8.49–14.167.38–13.2715.87–27.44safer7.73–14.926.63–14.0214.37–28.94
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.234.12safe0.72–3.041.14–3.331.86–6.37safer0.42–3.350.85–3.611.27–6.96
Yellow cards
47%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.323.04safe0.67–2.770.19–2.450.86–5.22safer0.40–3.040.00–2.740.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.416.41safe2.56–5.440.85–3.963.41–9.40safer2.18–5.820.43–4.392.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.28 1.42–3.13 1.19–3.36 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 15% 19% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.29 1.08–5.78 | 6.68 4.94–8.43 4.48–8.89 | 10.12 6.51–13.72 5.56–14.68 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.70 6.77–14.62 5.68–15.72 | 16.41 12.85–19.98 11.89–20.94 | 27.11 19.63–34.60 17.58–36.65 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.10–9.99 3.27–10.82 | 11.35 8.67–14.03 7.93–14.77 | 18.40 12.77–24.02 11.21–25.59 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 4.67 3.02–6.33 2.53–6.82 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 4.09 1.88–6.31 1.31–6.88 | 5.59 3.59–7.59 3.05–8.12 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 36.99 30.20–43.78 28.53–45.45 | 63.58 56.80–70.37 55.12–72.04 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 276–446 | 601 534–667 517–685 | 962 828–1095 792–1131 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.14 76.11–84.17 74.81–85.46 | 89.10 84.77–93.42 83.46–94.73 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 10.33 7.38–13.27 6.63–14.02 | 21.65 15.87–27.44 14.37–28.94 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.35 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 4.12 1.86–6.37 1.27–6.96 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.04 | 1.32 0.19–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 47% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.00 2.56–5.44 2.18–5.82 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.43–4.39 | 6.41 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+