Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.332.67safe0.37–2.310.48–2.190.85–4.49safer0.12–2.560.25–2.420.37–4.97
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.918.79safe3.02–6.752.16–5.655.19–12.40safer2.53–7.241.70–6.114.23–13.35
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8611.2027.05safe11.93–19.787.63–14.7619.57–34.54safer10.84–20.876.68–15.7217.52–36.59
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.417.6618.06safe7.46–13.354.98–10.3412.44–23.69safer6.63–14.184.24–11.0810.87–25.25
Blocked shots
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.307.65safe2.47–6.231.65–4.964.12–11.19safer1.93–6.781.16–5.453.08–12.22
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.199.44safe3.03–7.462.19–6.195.22–13.65safer2.45–8.031.66–6.734.12–14.76
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7550.44safe42.96–56.5443.65–57.22safer41.29–58.2141.98–58.90
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction464464929safe397–532398–531795–1062safer379–550380–548759–1098
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction82.9580.02safe78.92–86.9875.69–84.34safer77.63–88.2774.39–85.65
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5812.3923.97safe8.74–14.429.45–15.3418.19–29.75safer7.99–15.178.70–16.0816.68–31.26
Offsides
36%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.522.96safe0.29–2.610.42–2.610.71–5.22safer0.00–2.910.13–2.900.12–5.81
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.113.83safe0.67–2.770.98–3.241.65–6.01safer0.40–3.030.69–3.531.10–6.57
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.345.76safe0.99–3.861.79–4.902.77–8.76safer0.60–4.251.36–5.321.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 3.91 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.35 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.86 11.93–19.78 10.84–20.87 | 11.20 7.63–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 27.05 19.57–34.54 17.52–36.59 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.46–13.35 6.63–14.18 | 7.66 4.98–10.34 4.24–11.08 | 18.06 12.44–23.69 10.87–25.25 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.93–6.78 | 3.30 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.45–8.03 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 9.44 5.22–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 49.75 42.96–56.54 41.29–58.21 | 50.44 43.65–57.22 41.98–58.90 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 464 397–532 379–550 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.95 78.92–86.98 77.63–88.27 | 80.02 75.69–84.34 74.39–85.65 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.42 7.99–15.17 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.08 | 23.97 18.19–29.75 16.68–31.26 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 36% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+