Serie A·Regular Season - 29·
Serie A·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.022.49safe0.50–2.440.17–1.870.67–4.31safer0.25–2.690.00–2.100.19–4.79
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.103.388.48safe3.23–6.961.64–5.124.87–12.08safer2.74–7.451.17–5.593.92–13.04
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.709.8725.58safe11.78–19.636.31–13.4418.09–33.06safer10.69–20.725.35–14.4016.04–35.11
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.7316.95safe7.28–13.164.05–9.4111.33–22.57safer6.45–13.993.31–10.159.76–24.14
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.847.45safe2.73–6.501.18–4.493.92–10.99safer2.19–7.040.69–4.982.88–12.02
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.039.80safe3.56–7.992.03–6.035.59–14.02safer2.99–8.561.50–6.564.48–15.13
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6146.73safe46.82–60.4039.95–53.52safer45.15–62.0738.27–55.19
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction445395839safe377–512328–461706–973safer359–530311–479670–1009
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction75.1970.64safe71.16–79.2266.31–74.96safer69.87–80.5265.00–76.27
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7711.6124.38safe9.93–15.618.66–14.5518.59–30.16safer9.17–16.367.92–15.3017.09–31.66
Offsides
44%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.453.19safe0.57–2.890.36–2.550.93–5.44safer0.27–3.190.07–2.830.34–6.03
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.913.69safe0.73–2.830.78–3.041.51–5.87safer0.46–3.090.49–3.330.95–6.42
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.656.00safe0.91–3.782.10–5.213.01–8.99safer0.52–4.171.67–5.632.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.02 0.17–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 47% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.23–6.96 2.74–7.45 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.78–19.63 10.69–20.72 | 9.87 6.31–13.44 5.35–14.40 | 25.58 18.09–33.06 16.04–35.11 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 6.73 4.05–9.41 3.31–10.15 | 16.95 11.33–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 2.84 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.56 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.13 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.61 46.82–60.40 45.15–62.07 | 46.73 39.95–53.52 38.27–55.19 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 445 377–512 359–530 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.19 71.16–79.22 69.87–80.52 | 70.64 66.31–74.96 65.00–76.27 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.17–16.36 | 11.61 8.66–14.55 7.92–15.30 | 24.38 18.59–30.16 17.09–31.66 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.83 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.42 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.65 2.10–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 23% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.