Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.602.56safe0.00–1.930.75–2.460.74–4.39safer0.00–2.180.52–2.690.26–4.87
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.965.489.45safe2.10–5.833.74–7.235.84–13.05safer1.61–6.313.28–7.694.89–14.01
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5714.6527.22safe8.64–16.4911.09–18.2119.73–34.70safer7.55–17.5810.13–19.1717.68–36.75
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.849.1416.98safe4.90–10.796.46–11.8211.36–22.60safer4.07–11.625.72–12.569.79–24.17
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.837.16safe1.44–5.212.18–5.493.62–10.70safer0.90–5.751.69–5.982.59–11.73
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.8310.14safe2.10–6.533.83–7.835.93–14.36safer1.53–7.103.29–8.364.82–15.46
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction42.9657.04safe36.17–49.7550.26–63.83safer34.50–51.4248.59–65.50
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction437555992safe369–504489–622858–1126safer351–522471–639823–1162
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction83.5988.84safe79.56–87.6284.51–93.16safer78.27–88.9183.20–94.47
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8810.1622.04safe9.04–14.727.22–13.1116.26–27.82safer8.29–15.476.47–13.8614.76–29.33
Offsides
64%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.193.57safe1.21–3.540.10–2.281.31–5.82safer0.91–3.840.00–2.570.72–6.41
Yellow cards
47%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.333.05safe0.68–2.780.20–2.460.88–5.23safer0.41–3.040.00–2.750.32–5.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.060.16safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.786.49safe2.28–5.151.22–4.333.50–9.49safer1.89–5.540.80–4.762.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.83 1.61–6.31 | 5.48 3.74–7.23 3.28–7.69 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.57 8.64–16.49 7.55–17.58 | 14.65 11.09–18.21 10.13–19.17 | 27.22 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.75 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.84 4.90–10.79 4.07–11.62 | 9.14 6.46–11.82 5.72–12.56 | 16.98 11.36–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.44–5.21 0.90–5.75 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.16 3.62–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.53 1.53–7.10 | 5.83 3.83–7.83 3.29–8.36 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 42.96 36.17–49.75 34.50–51.42 | 57.04 50.26–63.83 48.59–65.50 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 555 489–622 471–639 | 992 858–1126 823–1162 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.59 79.56–87.62 78.27–88.91 | 88.84 84.51–93.16 83.20–94.47 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.88 9.04–14.72 8.29–15.47 | 10.16 7.22–13.11 6.47–13.86 | 22.04 16.26–27.82 14.76–29.33 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.38 1.21–3.54 0.91–3.84 | 1.19 0.10–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.33 0.20–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.05 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 47% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.72 2.28–5.15 1.89–5.54 | 2.78 1.22–4.33 0.80–4.76 | 6.49 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.