Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.602.77safe0.20–2.140.75–2.460.95–4.60safer0.00–2.390.52–2.690.47–5.08
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.749.16safe2.55–6.283.00–6.495.55–12.76safer2.06–6.772.54–6.954.60–13.72
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9314.3028.23safe10.00–17.8510.74–17.8620.74–35.72safer8.91–18.949.78–18.8218.69–37.77
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.599.6018.18safe5.65–11.536.91–12.2812.56–23.81safer4.82–12.366.18–13.0110.99–25.37
Blocked shots
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.868.49safe2.74–6.512.21–5.524.96–12.03safer2.20–7.051.72–6.013.92–13.06
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.515.1110.62safe3.30–7.723.11–7.116.40–14.83safer2.72–8.302.57–7.645.30–15.94
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction47.9051.62safe41.11–54.6944.84–58.41safer39.44–56.3643.17–60.08
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction372402774safe305–439335–468640–907safer287–457318–486604–943
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction73.7573.07safe69.72–77.7868.74–77.39safer68.43–79.0767.43–78.70
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2711.7825.05safe10.43–16.118.84–14.7319.27–30.83safer9.68–16.878.09–15.4717.77–32.34
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.613.46safe0.69–3.010.51–2.701.20–5.71safer0.39–3.310.23–2.990.61–6.30
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.033.99safe0.90–3.000.90–3.161.81–6.16safer0.64–3.270.61–3.451.25–6.72
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.043.386.42safe1.61–4.481.82–4.943.43–9.41safer1.22–4.871.40–5.362.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 4.74 3.00–6.49 2.54–6.95 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.93 10.00–17.85 8.91–18.94 | 14.30 10.74–17.86 9.78–18.82 | 28.23 20.74–35.72 18.69–37.77 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.65–11.53 4.82–12.36 | 9.60 6.91–12.28 6.18–13.01 | 18.18 12.56–23.81 10.99–25.37 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.74–6.51 2.20–7.05 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 8.49 4.96–12.03 3.92–13.06 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.90 41.11–54.69 39.44–56.36 | 51.62 44.84–58.41 43.17–60.08 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 774 640–907 604–943 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.75 69.72–77.78 68.43–79.07 | 73.07 68.74–77.39 67.43–78.70 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 13.27 10.43–16.11 9.68–16.87 | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.47 | 25.05 19.27–30.83 17.77–32.34 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.99 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.38 1.82–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+