Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.333.23safe0.94–2.870.47–2.181.41–5.06safer0.69–3.130.24–2.410.93–5.54
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.379.76safe3.53–7.262.62–6.116.16–13.37safer3.04–7.752.16–6.575.20–14.32
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4011.8126.20safe10.47–18.328.24–15.3718.72–33.69safer9.38–19.417.28–16.3316.67–35.74
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.857.9817.83safe6.91–12.795.30–10.6612.20–23.45safer6.08–13.624.56–11.4010.64–25.02
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.347.06safe1.85–5.611.68–4.993.53–10.60safer1.30–6.151.19–5.482.49–11.64
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.159.54safe3.17–7.602.15–6.155.33–13.75safer2.60–8.171.62–6.694.22–14.86
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.5543.34safe50.76–64.3436.56–50.13safer49.09–66.0134.89–51.80
Passes
83%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction541425966safe474–609358–491833–1100safer456–627341–509797–1136
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction84.9879.89safe80.95–89.0175.56–84.21safer79.66–90.3074.25–85.52
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4712.8923.36safe7.63–13.309.95–15.8417.58–29.14safer6.87–14.069.20–16.5916.07–30.65
Offsides
33%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.394.39safe0.84–3.161.30–3.482.13–6.64safer0.54–3.461.01–3.771.55–7.23
Yellow cards
29%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.223.89safe0.62–2.721.09–3.351.71–6.07safer0.36–2.990.80–3.641.15–6.63
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.426.42safe1.57–4.441.86–4.973.43–9.41safer1.18–4.831.44–5.402.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.87 0.69–3.13 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 3.23 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.75 | 4.37 2.62–6.11 2.16–6.57 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.40 10.47–18.32 9.38–19.41 | 11.81 8.24–15.37 7.28–16.33 | 26.20 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.74 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.85 6.91–12.79 6.08–13.62 | 7.98 5.30–10.66 4.56–11.40 | 17.83 12.20–23.45 10.64–25.02 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.64 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.55 50.76–64.34 49.09–66.01 | 43.34 36.56–50.13 34.89–51.80 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 83% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.98 80.95–89.01 79.66–90.30 | 79.89 75.56–84.21 74.25–85.52 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 23.36 17.58–29.14 16.07–30.65 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.39 1.30–3.48 1.01–3.77 | 4.39 2.13–6.64 1.55–7.23 | 33% 19% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.63 | 29% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 3.42 1.86–4.97 1.44–5.40 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.