Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.643.51safe0.00–1.841.78–3.491.69–5.34safer0.00–2.091.56–3.721.21–5.81
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.306.9010.19safe1.43–5.165.15–8.646.59–13.80safer0.94–5.654.69–9.105.63–14.75
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8017.8327.63safe5.88–13.7214.27–21.4020.15–35.12safer4.78–14.8213.31–22.3618.10–37.17
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9011.5918.49safe3.96–9.858.91–14.2712.87–24.12safer3.13–10.688.17–15.0111.30–25.68
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.405.307.70safe0.52–4.293.65–6.954.17–11.24safer0.00–4.833.15–7.443.13–12.28
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.936.7310.66safe1.72–6.144.73–8.736.45–14.88safer1.14–6.724.20–9.275.34–15.98
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.8664.52safe29.07–42.6657.73–71.30safer27.40–44.3256.06–72.97
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction335584919safe267–402518–651785–1053safer249–420500–668750–1088
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction75.0686.11safe71.03–79.0981.78–90.43safer69.73–80.3880.47–91.74
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6611.7822.44safe7.82–13.508.83–14.7216.66–28.22safer7.07–14.258.09–15.4715.15–29.73
Offsides
65%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.081.744.82safe1.92–4.240.65–2.832.57–7.08safer1.62–4.550.36–3.121.98–7.67
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.523.31safe0.74–2.840.39–2.651.13–5.49safer0.47–3.100.10–2.940.57–6.04
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.090.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.410.00–0.87
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.276.57safe2.87–5.740.71–3.823.58–9.57safer2.48–6.130.29–4.252.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.64 1.78–3.49 1.56–3.72 | 3.51 1.69–5.34 1.21–5.81 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.43–5.16 0.94–5.65 | 6.90 5.15–8.64 4.69–9.10 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 84% |
| Total shots | 9.80 5.88–13.72 4.78–14.82 | 17.83 14.27–21.40 13.31–22.36 | 27.63 20.15–35.12 18.10–37.17 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 6.90 3.96–9.85 3.13–10.68 | 11.59 8.91–14.27 8.17–15.01 | 18.49 12.87–24.12 11.30–25.68 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.40 0.52–4.29 0.00–4.83 | 5.30 3.65–6.95 3.15–7.44 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.28 | 81% |
| Corners | 3.93 1.72–6.14 1.14–6.72 | 6.73 4.73–8.73 4.20–9.27 | 10.66 6.45–14.88 5.34–15.98 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 35.86 29.07–42.66 27.40–44.32 | 64.52 57.73–71.30 56.06–72.97 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 335 267–402 249–420 | 584 518–651 500–668 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.06 71.03–79.09 69.73–80.38 | 86.11 81.78–90.43 80.47–91.74 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.82–13.50 7.07–14.25 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.09–15.47 | 22.44 16.66–28.22 15.15–29.73 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 3.08 1.92–4.24 1.62–4.55 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 4.82 2.57–7.08 1.98–7.67 | 65% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.04 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.31 2.87–5.74 2.48–6.13 | 2.27 0.71–3.82 0.29–4.25 | 6.57 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+