Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.671.043.71safe1.70–3.640.18–1.891.88–5.53safer1.45–3.890.00–2.121.40–6.01
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.413.6112.02safe6.55–10.271.87–5.358.42–15.63safer6.06–10.761.40–5.827.46–16.58
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction22.0211.1133.13safe18.10–25.957.55–14.6725.64–40.62safer17.00–27.046.59–15.6323.59–42.67
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction14.517.3421.84safe11.56–17.454.66–10.0216.22–27.46safer10.73–18.283.92–10.7514.65–29.03
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.262.148.40safe4.38–8.140.49–3.794.86–11.93safer3.83–8.680.00–4.293.83–12.97
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.883.6411.53safe5.67–10.101.64–5.647.31–15.74safer5.10–10.671.11–6.176.20–16.85
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.7632.39safe60.97–74.5625.60–39.17safer59.30–76.2223.93–40.85
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction595270865safe528–663203–336732–999safer510–681186–354696–1035
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction85.9770.90safe81.94–90.0066.57–75.22safer80.65–91.2965.26–76.53
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2712.5022.77safe7.44–13.119.55–15.4416.99–28.55safer6.68–13.878.80–16.1915.48–30.06
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.553.164.71safe0.39–2.712.07–4.252.46–6.96safer0.09–3.011.78–4.541.87–7.55
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.323.90safe0.54–2.641.19–3.441.73–6.08safer0.27–2.900.90–3.741.17–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.345.758.09safe0.90–3.784.20–7.315.10–11.09safer0.52–4.163.77–7.734.29–11.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.70–3.64 1.45–3.89 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.71 1.88–5.53 1.40–6.01 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 8.41 6.55–10.27 6.06–10.76 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 12.02 8.42–15.63 7.46–16.58 | 90% |
| Total shots | 22.02 18.10–25.95 17.00–27.04 | 11.11 7.55–14.67 6.59–15.63 | 33.13 25.64–40.62 23.59–42.67 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.51 11.56–17.45 10.73–18.28 | 7.34 4.66–10.02 3.92–10.75 | 21.84 16.22–27.46 14.65–29.03 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 6.26 4.38–8.14 3.83–8.68 | 2.14 0.49–3.79 0.00–4.29 | 8.40 4.86–11.93 3.83–12.97 | 90% |
| Corners | 7.88 5.67–10.10 5.10–10.67 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.17 | 11.53 7.31–15.74 6.20–16.85 | 87% |
| Possession % | 67.76 60.97–74.56 59.30–76.22 | 32.39 25.60–39.17 23.93–40.85 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 595 528–663 510–681 | 270 203–336 186–354 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.97 81.94–90.00 80.65–91.29 | 70.90 66.57–75.22 65.26–76.53 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 12.50 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 22.77 16.99–28.55 15.48–30.06 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 3.16 2.07–4.25 1.78–4.54 | 4.71 2.46–6.96 1.87–7.55 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.32 1.19–3.44 0.90–3.74 | 3.90 1.73–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 5.75 4.20–7.31 3.77–7.73 | 8.09 5.10–11.09 4.29–11.90 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.