Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.062.97safe0.94–2.870.21–1.921.15–4.79safer0.69–3.130.00–2.150.67–5.27
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.819.75safe4.09–7.812.06–5.556.15–13.36safer3.60–8.301.60–6.015.19–14.31
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0110.0827.09safe13.09–20.946.52–13.6419.60–34.58safer12.00–22.035.56–14.6017.55–36.63
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.047.0618.11safe8.10–13.994.38–9.7412.48–23.73safer7.27–14.823.64–10.4810.92–25.30
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.647.18safe2.66–6.430.99–4.293.65–10.72safer2.12–6.970.49–4.782.61–11.75
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.649.75safe3.89–8.321.64–5.645.54–13.96safer3.32–8.891.11–6.184.43–15.07
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2840.30safe53.49–67.0733.52–47.09safer51.82–68.7431.85–48.76
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction576401978safe509–644335–468844–1111safer491–662317–485808–1147
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction89.2783.51safe85.24–93.2979.19–87.83safer83.94–94.5977.88–89.14
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4811.9423.43safe8.64–14.329.00–14.8917.64–29.21safer7.89–15.088.25–15.6416.14–30.71
Offsides
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.893.61safe0.56–2.880.80–2.991.35–5.86safer0.25–3.180.51–3.270.76–6.45
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.023.61safe0.54–2.640.89–3.151.43–5.79safer0.27–2.910.60–3.440.88–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.886.44safe1.13–4.002.32–5.433.45–9.43safer0.74–4.391.90–5.862.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.87 0.69–3.13 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.81 3.60–8.30 | 3.81 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.01 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.01 13.09–20.94 12.00–22.03 | 10.08 6.52–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 27.09 19.60–34.58 17.55–36.63 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.04 8.10–13.99 7.27–14.82 | 7.06 4.38–9.74 3.64–10.48 | 18.11 12.48–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.49–4.78 | 7.18 3.65–10.72 2.61–11.75 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.18 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 60.28 53.49–67.07 51.82–68.74 | 40.30 33.52–47.09 31.85–48.76 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 576 509–644 491–662 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.27 85.24–93.29 83.94–94.59 | 83.51 79.19–87.83 77.88–89.14 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.48 8.64–14.32 7.89–15.08 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.43 17.64–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.88 2.32–5.43 1.90–5.86 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 23% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+