Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction0.792.333.12safe0.00–1.751.48–3.181.29–4.94safer0.00–2.011.25–3.410.81–5.42
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.976.049.01safe1.11–4.834.30–7.785.40–12.61safer0.62–5.323.83–8.254.45–13.57
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9715.3524.32safe5.05–12.9011.78–18.9116.83–31.81safer3.96–13.9910.82–19.8714.78–33.86
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6410.2515.88safe2.70–8.587.57–12.9310.26–21.51safer1.87–9.416.83–13.668.69–23.07
Blocked shots
22%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.575.79safe0.33–4.101.92–5.222.25–9.32safer0.00–4.641.43–5.721.22–10.36
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.485.779.25safe1.27–5.703.77–7.775.04–13.47safer0.70–6.273.24–8.303.93–14.57
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.4864.61safe28.69–42.2757.83–71.40safer27.02–43.9456.16–73.07
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction328609937safe261–395543–676804–1071safer243–414525–693768–1107
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.1989.12safe74.16–82.2284.80–93.45safer72.87–83.5183.49–94.75
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.149.8021.94safe9.30–14.986.86–12.7516.16–27.72safer8.55–15.736.11–13.5014.66–29.23
Offsides
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.945.09safe0.99–3.311.84–4.032.84–7.34safer0.69–3.611.56–4.322.25–7.93
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.543.53safe0.94–3.040.41–2.671.35–5.71safer0.67–3.310.12–2.960.80–6.27
Red cards
13%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.24safe0.00–0.320.00–0.270.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.87
GK saves
65%
15%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.095.60safe2.07–4.940.54–3.652.60–8.59safer1.68–5.330.11–4.071.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.79 0.00–1.75 0.00–2.01 | 2.33 1.48–3.18 1.25–3.41 | 3.12 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 17% 72% |
| Shots on target | 2.97 1.11–4.83 0.62–5.32 | 6.04 4.30–7.78 3.83–8.25 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 81% |
| Total shots | 8.97 5.05–12.90 3.96–13.99 | 15.35 11.78–18.91 10.82–19.87 | 24.32 16.83–31.81 14.78–33.86 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 5.64 2.70–8.58 1.87–9.41 | 10.25 7.57–12.93 6.83–13.66 | 15.88 10.26–21.51 8.69–23.07 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.22 0.33–4.10 0.00–4.64 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.43–5.72 | 5.79 2.25–9.32 1.22–10.36 | 22% 15% 64% |
| Corners | 3.48 1.27–5.70 0.70–6.27 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.30 | 9.25 5.04–13.47 3.93–14.57 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 35.48 28.69–42.27 27.02–43.94 | 64.61 57.83–71.40 56.16–73.07 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 328 261–395 243–414 | 609 543–676 525–693 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.19 74.16–82.22 72.87–83.51 | 89.12 84.80–93.45 83.49–94.75 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.98 8.55–15.73 | 9.80 6.86–12.75 6.11–13.50 | 21.94 16.16–27.72 14.66–29.23 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 2.94 1.84–4.03 1.56–4.32 | 5.09 2.84–7.34 2.25–7.93 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.31 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 13% 80% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.09 0.54–3.65 0.11–4.07 | 5.60 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 65% 15% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+