Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.870.992.85safe0.90–2.830.13–1.841.03–4.67safer0.65–3.080.00–2.070.55–5.15
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.208.79safe3.73–7.451.45–4.945.18–12.39safer3.24–7.940.99–5.404.23–13.35
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.169.7925.95safe12.23–20.086.23–13.3518.46–33.44safer11.14–21.185.27–14.3116.41–35.49
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.995.8915.88safe7.05–12.933.21–8.5710.26–21.51safer6.22–13.762.47–9.318.69–23.07
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.336.27safe2.05–5.820.68–3.982.73–9.80safer1.51–6.360.19–4.481.69–10.84
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.288.93safe3.43–7.861.28–5.284.72–13.14safer2.86–8.430.75–5.823.61–14.25
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.7242.78safe51.93–65.5136.00–49.57safer50.26–67.1834.32–51.24
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction566407973safe498–633341–473839–1106safer480–651323–491803–1142
Pass accuracy %
69%
26%
homeawayprediction89.1084.72safe85.07–93.1380.39–89.04safer83.78–94.4279.08–90.35
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3712.3924.76safe9.53–15.209.45–15.3418.98–30.54safer8.77–15.968.70–16.0917.47–32.05
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.843.42safe0.42–2.740.75–2.941.17–5.68safer0.12–3.040.46–3.220.58–6.27
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.124.12safe0.95–3.050.99–3.251.94–6.30safer0.69–3.320.70–3.541.39–6.86
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.505.72safe0.79–3.661.94–5.052.73–8.71safer0.40–4.051.52–5.481.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.83 0.65–3.08 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.73–7.45 3.24–7.94 | 3.20 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.40 | 8.79 5.18–12.39 4.23–13.35 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.16 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.18 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 25.95 18.46–33.44 16.41–35.49 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.99 7.05–12.93 6.22–13.76 | 5.89 3.21–8.57 2.47–9.31 | 15.88 10.26–21.51 8.69–23.07 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 2.33 0.68–3.98 0.19–4.48 | 6.27 2.73–9.80 1.69–10.84 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 3.28 1.28–5.28 0.75–5.82 | 8.93 4.72–13.14 3.61–14.25 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.72 51.93–65.51 50.26–67.18 | 42.78 36.00–49.57 34.32–51.24 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 566 498–633 480–651 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.10 85.07–93.13 83.78–94.42 | 84.72 80.39–89.04 79.08–90.35 | — | 69% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.20 8.77–15.96 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 24.76 18.98–30.54 17.47–32.05 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.50 1.94–5.05 1.52–5.48 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.