Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.602.80safe0.23–2.170.75–2.450.97–4.62safer0.00–2.420.52–2.680.49–5.10
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.069.38safe2.45–6.183.32–6.805.77–12.98safer1.96–6.672.85–7.274.82–13.94
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.4426.36safe9.00–16.859.88–17.0018.87–33.85safer7.91–17.948.92–17.9616.82–35.90
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.979.2317.20safe5.03–10.926.54–11.9111.58–22.82safer4.20–11.745.81–12.6410.01–24.39
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.236.85safe1.73–5.501.58–4.893.31–10.38safer1.19–6.041.09–5.382.28–11.42
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.789.22safe2.23–6.662.78–6.785.01–13.44safer1.66–7.232.25–7.313.90–14.54
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.3346.89safe47.54–61.1240.11–53.68safer45.87–62.7938.43–55.35
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction518458976safe451–585392–525842–1110safer433–603374–542807–1145
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction84.2078.97safe80.17–88.2374.65–83.29safer78.88–89.5273.34–84.60
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1613.2823.44safe7.32–12.9910.34–16.2317.66–29.22safer6.56–13.759.59–16.9716.15–30.73
Offsides
24%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.173.52safe0.20–2.521.07–3.261.27–5.78safer0.00–2.820.78–3.550.68–6.37
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.973.45safe0.43–2.520.84–3.101.27–5.62safer0.16–2.790.55–3.390.71–6.18
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.096.49safe1.97–4.841.53–4.653.50–9.48safer1.58–5.221.11–5.072.69–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.60 0.75–2.45 0.52–2.68 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 29% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 5.06 3.32–6.80 2.85–7.27 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.92 9.00–16.85 7.91–17.94 | 13.44 9.88–17.00 8.92–17.96 | 26.36 18.87–33.85 16.82–35.90 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.97 5.03–10.92 4.20–11.74 | 9.23 6.54–11.91 5.81–12.64 | 17.20 11.58–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.23 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 9.22 5.01–13.44 3.90–14.54 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 54.33 47.54–61.12 45.87–62.79 | 46.89 40.11–53.68 38.43–55.35 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 518 451–585 433–603 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.20 80.17–88.23 78.88–89.52 | 78.97 74.65–83.29 73.34–84.60 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.32–12.99 6.56–13.75 | 13.28 10.34–16.23 9.59–16.97 | 23.44 17.66–29.22 16.15–30.73 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 2.17 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.55 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 24% 21% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.45 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.22 | 3.09 1.53–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.69–10.29 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+