Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.033.63safe0.63–2.571.18–2.891.81–5.46safer0.38–2.820.95–3.121.33–5.94
Shots on target
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.5611.04safe3.62–7.343.81–7.307.43–14.64safer3.13–7.833.35–7.776.47–15.60
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9114.3030.21safe11.98–19.8310.74–17.8722.72–37.70safer10.89–20.929.78–18.8220.67–39.75
Shots in box
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8210.5020.32safe6.88–12.767.82–13.1914.70–25.95safer6.05–13.597.09–13.9213.13–27.51
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.517.75safe2.36–6.131.85–5.164.22–11.29safer1.82–6.671.36–5.653.18–12.32
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.9810.46safe3.26–7.692.98–6.986.24–14.67safer2.69–8.272.45–7.515.14–15.78
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.2650.36safe43.47–57.0543.58–57.15safer41.80–58.7241.91–58.82
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction480467947safe413–548400–533813–1081safer395–566383–551778–1117
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction83.8384.71safe79.80–87.8680.38–89.03safer78.51–89.1579.07–90.34
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5610.7221.28safe7.72–13.407.78–13.6715.50–27.06safer6.96–14.157.03–14.4213.99–28.57
Offsides
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.756.12safe1.21–3.532.66–4.843.87–8.38safer0.91–3.832.37–5.133.28–8.97
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.933.50safe0.52–2.620.80–3.061.32–5.67safer0.25–2.880.51–3.350.76–6.23
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.406.88safe2.05–4.921.84–4.953.89–9.88safer1.66–5.311.42–5.383.08–10.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 2.03 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 3.63 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.94 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Shots on target | 5.48 3.62–7.34 3.13–7.83 | 5.56 3.81–7.30 3.35–7.77 | 11.04 7.43–14.64 6.47–15.60 | 43% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.98–19.83 10.89–20.92 | 14.30 10.74–17.87 9.78–18.82 | 30.21 22.72–37.70 20.67–39.75 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 10.50 7.82–13.19 7.09–13.92 | 20.32 14.70–25.95 13.13–27.51 | 40% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.13 1.82–6.67 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 10.46 6.24–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 50.26 43.47–57.05 41.80–58.72 | 50.36 43.58–57.15 41.91–58.82 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 480 413–548 395–566 | 467 400–533 383–551 | 947 813–1081 778–1117 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.83 79.80–87.86 78.51–89.15 | 84.71 80.38–89.03 79.07–90.34 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.40 6.96–14.15 | 10.72 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 21.28 15.50–27.06 13.99–28.57 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.91–3.83 | 3.75 2.66–4.84 2.37–5.13 | 6.12 3.87–8.38 3.28–8.97 | 22% 14% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.50 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.05–4.92 1.66–5.31 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.42–5.38 | 6.88 3.89–9.88 3.08–10.69 | 44% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+