Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.001.184.18safe2.03–3.970.33–2.042.36–6.00safer1.78–4.220.10–2.261.88–6.48
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.913.7711.68safe6.05–9.772.03–5.528.08–15.29safer5.56–10.261.57–5.987.12–16.24
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction21.9010.4632.36safe17.97–25.826.90–14.0324.88–39.85safer16.88–26.925.94–14.9922.83–41.90
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.327.0120.33safe10.38–16.264.33–9.6914.71–25.96safer9.55–17.093.59–10.4313.14–27.52
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.372.978.33safe3.48–7.251.31–4.624.80–11.87safer2.94–7.790.82–5.113.76–12.90
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.063.8810.95safe4.85–9.271.88–5.886.73–15.16safer4.27–9.851.35–6.425.63–16.27
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.4940.22safe52.70–66.2833.43–47.00safer51.03–67.9531.76–48.68
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction574387960safe506–641320–453827–1094safer488–659303–471791–1130
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction78.5973.01safe74.56–82.6268.69–77.34safer73.27–83.9167.38–78.65
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3910.3419.73safe6.56–12.237.39–13.2813.95–25.52safer5.80–12.996.65–14.0312.45–27.02
Offsides
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.183.13safe0.79–3.110.09–2.270.87–5.38safer0.49–3.410.00–2.560.28–5.97
Yellow cards
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.133.19safe0.01–2.111.00–3.261.01–5.36safer0.00–2.380.71–3.550.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.645.408.03safe1.20–4.073.84–6.965.04–11.03safer0.81–4.463.42–7.384.23–11.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.00 2.03–3.97 1.78–4.22 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.26 | 4.18 2.36–6.00 1.88–6.48 | 74% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.91 6.05–9.77 5.56–10.26 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 11.68 8.08–15.29 7.12–16.24 | 86% |
| Total shots | 21.90 17.97–25.82 16.88–26.92 | 10.46 6.90–14.03 5.94–14.99 | 32.36 24.88–39.85 22.83–41.90 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.32 10.38–16.26 9.55–17.09 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 20.33 14.71–25.96 13.14–27.52 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.37 3.48–7.25 2.94–7.79 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 7.06 4.85–9.27 4.27–9.85 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.42 | 10.95 6.73–15.16 5.63–16.27 | 79% |
| Possession % | 59.49 52.70–66.28 51.03–67.95 | 40.22 33.43–47.00 31.76–48.68 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 574 506–641 488–659 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 960 827–1094 791–1130 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.59 74.56–82.62 73.27–83.91 | 73.01 68.69–77.34 67.38–78.65 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 9.39 6.56–12.23 5.80–12.99 | 10.34 7.39–13.28 6.65–14.03 | 19.73 13.95–25.52 12.45–27.02 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.18 0.09–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.06 0.01–2.11 0.00–2.38 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 5.40 3.84–6.96 3.42–7.38 | 8.03 5.04–11.03 4.23–11.84 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.