Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.303.67safe0.40–2.341.44–3.151.85–5.49safer0.15–2.591.22–3.381.37–5.97
Shots on target
20%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.646.9811.62safe2.78–6.505.24–8.738.02–15.23safer2.29–6.994.78–9.197.06–16.18
Total shots
20%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8118.0431.85safe9.88–17.7314.48–21.6124.36–39.34safer8.79–18.8213.52–22.5722.31–41.39
Shots in box
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8311.6820.51safe5.89–11.789.00–14.3614.89–26.13safer5.06–12.608.26–15.1013.32–27.70
Blocked shots
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.049.43safe2.51–6.283.39–6.695.90–12.97safer1.97–6.822.89–7.184.86–14.00
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.7210.60safe2.67–7.103.72–7.726.39–14.82safer2.10–7.683.18–8.255.28–15.93
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.4556.54safe37.66–51.2449.76–63.33safer35.99–52.9148.09–65.00
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction401512914safe334–469446–579780–1047safer316–487428–596744–1083
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction70.4579.47safe66.42–74.4875.15–83.80safer65.13–75.7773.84–85.10
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1010.7620.86safe7.27–12.947.82–13.7115.08–26.65safer6.51–13.707.07–14.4613.58–28.15
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.963.28safe0.16–2.480.87–3.051.03–5.53safer0.00–2.780.58–3.340.44–6.12
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.533.09safe0.52–2.610.40–2.660.91–5.27safer0.25–2.880.11–2.950.36–5.83
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.947.15safe2.77–5.641.39–4.504.15–10.14safer2.38–6.030.96–4.923.34–10.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 2.30 1.44–3.15 1.22–3.38 | 3.67 1.85–5.49 1.37–5.97 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 6.98 5.24–8.73 4.78–9.19 | 11.62 8.02–15.23 7.06–16.18 | 20% 71% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.88–17.73 8.79–18.82 | 18.04 14.48–21.61 13.52–22.57 | 31.85 24.36–39.34 22.31–41.39 | 20% 75% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.78 5.06–12.60 | 11.68 9.00–14.36 8.26–15.10 | 20.51 14.89–26.13 13.32–27.70 | 23% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 5.04 3.39–6.69 2.89–7.18 | 9.43 5.90–12.97 4.86–14.00 | 35% 52% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.68 | 5.72 3.72–7.72 3.18–8.25 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.93 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.45 37.66–51.24 35.99–52.91 | 56.54 49.76–63.33 48.09–65.00 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 401 334–469 316–487 | 512 446–579 428–596 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.45 66.42–74.48 65.13–75.77 | 79.47 75.15–83.80 73.84–85.10 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.10 7.27–12.94 6.51–13.70 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.46 | 20.86 15.08–26.65 13.58–28.15 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.78 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.52–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.20 2.77–5.64 2.38–6.03 | 2.94 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 7.15 4.15–10.14 3.34–10.95 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.