Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.173.13safe0.99–2.930.31–2.021.31–4.95safer0.74–3.180.09–2.250.83–5.43
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.3910.19safe3.94–7.672.65–6.136.59–13.80safer3.45–8.152.18–6.605.63–14.75
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0712.4928.56safe12.15–19.998.93–16.0521.07–36.05safer11.05–21.097.97–17.0119.02–38.10
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.357.6018.96safe8.41–14.294.92–10.2913.33–24.58safer7.58–15.124.19–11.0211.77–26.15
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.497.43safe2.06–5.821.84–5.143.90–10.97safer1.51–6.371.35–5.642.86–12.00
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.7410.87safe3.92–8.352.74–6.746.66–15.08safer3.35–8.922.21–7.275.55–16.19
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.7350.60safe42.94–56.5243.82–57.39safer41.27–58.1942.15–59.06
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction460479939safe393–527413–546806–1073safer375–546395–563770–1109
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction70.3675.36safe66.33–74.3971.03–79.68safer65.04–75.6869.72–80.99
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6211.4022.01safe7.78–13.458.45–14.3416.23–27.79safer7.02–14.217.70–15.0914.72–29.30
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.583.62safe0.88–3.200.49–2.671.36–5.87safer0.58–3.500.20–2.960.77–6.46
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.173.61safe0.39–2.491.04–3.301.43–5.78safer0.12–2.750.75–3.590.87–6.34
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.586.47safe1.46–4.332.02–5.133.48–9.46safer1.07–4.721.60–5.562.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.94–7.67 3.45–8.15 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.07 12.15–19.99 11.05–21.09 | 12.49 8.93–16.05 7.97–17.01 | 28.56 21.07–36.05 19.02–38.10 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 11.35 8.41–14.29 7.58–15.12 | 7.60 4.92–10.29 4.19–11.02 | 18.96 13.33–24.58 11.77–26.15 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.37 | 3.49 1.84–5.14 1.35–5.64 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.27 | 10.87 6.66–15.08 5.55–16.19 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 49.73 42.94–56.52 41.27–58.19 | 50.60 43.82–57.39 42.15–59.06 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 375–546 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 939 806–1073 770–1109 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.36 66.33–74.39 65.04–75.68 | 75.36 71.03–79.68 69.72–80.99 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.78–13.45 7.02–14.21 | 11.40 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.09 | 22.01 16.23–27.79 14.72–29.30 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.61 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.58 2.02–5.13 1.60–5.56 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.