Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.472.83safe0.39–2.330.62–2.331.01–4.66safer0.14–2.580.39–2.550.53–5.14
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.319.30safe3.13–6.852.57–6.055.69–12.90safer2.64–7.342.10–6.524.74–13.86
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2111.9626.17safe10.28–18.138.40–15.5318.68–33.66safer9.19–19.227.44–16.4916.63–35.71
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.188.4717.66safe6.24–12.135.79–11.1512.03–23.28safer5.41–12.965.05–11.8910.47–24.85
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.187.27safe2.21–5.971.53–4.833.73–10.80safer1.66–6.511.03–5.322.70–11.84
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.3610.18safe3.61–8.042.36–6.365.97–14.40safer3.04–8.611.83–6.894.86–15.51
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.0045.56safe48.21–61.7938.77–52.34safer46.54–63.4637.10–54.02
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction512428941safe445–580362–495807–1074safer427–598344–512771–1110
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction73.8770.86safe69.84–77.9066.53–75.18safer68.55–79.1965.22–76.49
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8112.1822.98safe7.97–13.649.23–15.1217.20–28.77safer7.21–14.408.48–15.8715.70–30.27
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.993.71safe0.56–2.880.89–3.081.45–5.96safer0.26–3.180.61–3.370.86–6.55
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.793.33safe0.49–2.590.66–2.921.15–5.51safer0.22–2.850.37–3.210.59–6.07
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.276.24safe1.53–4.411.71–4.823.25–9.23safer1.15–4.791.29–5.252.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.55 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 11.96 8.40–15.53 7.44–16.49 | 26.17 18.68–33.66 16.63–35.71 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.24–12.13 5.41–12.96 | 8.47 5.79–11.15 5.05–11.89 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.18 1.53–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 10.18 5.97–14.40 4.86–15.51 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.00 48.21–61.79 46.54–63.46 | 45.56 38.77–52.34 37.10–54.02 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 512 445–580 427–598 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.87 69.84–77.90 68.55–79.19 | 70.86 66.53–75.18 65.22–76.49 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.81 7.97–13.64 7.21–14.40 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 22.98 17.20–28.77 15.70–30.27 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.41 1.15–4.79 | 3.27 1.71–4.82 1.29–5.25 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.