Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.223.23safe1.04–2.970.37–2.081.40–5.05safer0.79–3.220.14–2.310.92–5.53
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.3910.55safe4.30–8.032.64–6.136.95–14.16safer3.81–8.522.18–6.595.99–15.11
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.9312.4330.36safe14.00–21.858.87–16.0022.88–37.85safer12.91–22.957.91–16.9620.82–39.90
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction12.137.8620.00safe9.19–15.075.18–10.5514.37–25.62safer8.36–15.904.45–11.2812.81–27.19
Blocked shots
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.793.778.56safe2.90–6.672.12–5.435.02–12.09safer2.36–7.211.63–5.923.99–13.13
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.634.4011.03safe4.42–8.842.40–6.406.82–15.25safer3.84–9.421.87–6.945.71–16.35
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.0146.63safe46.22–59.8039.85–53.42safer44.55–61.4738.18–55.09
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction486428914safe419–553361–494780–1048safer401–571344–512745–1083
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction71.5271.37safe67.49–75.5567.04–75.69safer66.20–76.8465.73–77.00
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8910.4420.34safe7.06–12.737.50–13.3914.56–26.12safer6.30–13.496.75–14.1413.05–27.62
Offsides
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.192.91safe0.56–2.880.09–2.280.65–5.16safer0.26–3.180.00–2.570.06–5.75
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.792.98safe0.14–2.230.66–2.920.80–5.15safer0.00–2.500.37–3.210.24–5.71
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.297.33safe1.60–4.472.74–5.854.34–10.32safer1.21–4.862.31–6.273.52–11.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.04–2.97 0.79–3.22 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 56% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.17 4.30–8.03 3.81–8.52 | 4.39 2.64–6.13 2.18–6.59 | 10.55 6.95–14.16 5.99–15.11 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 17.93 14.00–21.85 12.91–22.95 | 12.43 8.87–16.00 7.91–16.96 | 30.36 22.88–37.85 20.82–39.90 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 12.13 9.19–15.07 8.36–15.90 | 7.86 5.18–10.55 4.45–11.28 | 20.00 14.37–25.62 12.81–27.19 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.90–6.67 2.36–7.21 | 3.77 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.56 5.02–12.09 3.99–13.13 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.42–8.84 3.84–9.42 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.94 | 11.03 6.82–15.25 5.71–16.35 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 53.01 46.22–59.80 44.55–61.47 | 46.63 39.85–53.42 38.18–55.09 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.52 67.49–75.55 66.20–76.84 | 71.37 67.04–75.69 65.73–77.00 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 9.89 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 10.44 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 20.34 14.56–26.12 13.05–27.62 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.19 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.14–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.98 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 7.33 4.34–10.32 3.52–11.13 | 26% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.