Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.813.38safe0.59–2.530.96–2.671.55–5.20safer0.34–2.780.73–2.901.07–5.68
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.7110.60safe3.03–6.753.97–7.457.00–14.21safer2.54–7.243.50–7.926.04–15.16
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2514.8229.07safe10.32–18.1711.26–18.3821.58–36.56safer9.23–19.2610.30–19.3419.53–38.61
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8510.4919.33safe5.90–11.797.81–13.1713.71–24.96safer5.07–12.627.07–13.9112.14–26.52
Blocked shots
50%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.218.94safe2.85–6.622.56–5.865.41–12.48safer2.31–7.162.06–6.354.37–13.51
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.4910.65safe2.94–7.373.49–7.496.43–14.86safer2.37–7.942.96–8.035.33–15.97
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6249.37safe43.83–57.4142.59–56.16safer42.16–59.0840.92–57.83
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction465438903safe398–532372–505770–1037safer380–551354–522734–1073
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction69.5272.91safe65.49–73.5468.58–77.23safer64.19–74.8467.28–78.54
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8811.1321.01safe7.04–12.728.19–14.0815.23–26.80safer6.29–13.477.44–14.8313.73–28.30
Offsides
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.572.87safe0.14–2.460.48–2.670.61–5.12safer0.00–2.760.19–2.950.03–5.71
Yellow cards
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.512.85safe0.28–2.380.39–2.640.67–5.03safer0.02–2.650.09–2.930.11–5.58
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.447.26safe2.38–5.261.88–5.004.27–10.25safer2.00–5.641.46–5.423.45–11.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 5.71 3.97–7.45 3.50–7.92 | 10.60 7.00–14.21 6.04–15.16 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.25 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 14.82 11.26–18.38 10.30–19.34 | 29.07 21.58–36.56 19.53–38.61 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.90–11.79 5.07–12.62 | 10.49 7.81–13.17 7.07–13.91 | 19.33 13.71–24.96 12.14–26.52 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 4.21 2.56–5.86 2.06–6.35 | 8.94 5.41–12.48 4.37–13.51 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.03 | 10.65 6.43–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 50.62 43.83–57.41 42.16–59.08 | 49.37 42.59–56.16 40.92–57.83 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 380–551 | 438 372–505 354–522 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.52 65.49–73.54 64.19–74.84 | 72.91 68.58–77.23 67.28–78.54 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 9.88 7.04–12.72 6.29–13.47 | 11.13 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 21.01 15.23–26.80 13.73–28.30 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 2.87 0.61–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.51 0.39–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 2.85 0.67–5.03 0.11–5.58 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.82 2.38–5.26 2.00–5.64 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 7.26 4.27–10.25 3.45–11.06 | 48% 15% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.