Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.800.923.73safe1.83–3.770.07–1.781.90–5.55safer1.58–4.020.00–2.011.42–6.03
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.413.4010.81safe5.55–9.281.66–5.147.21–14.42safer5.06–9.771.19–5.616.25–15.37
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.969.0326.99safe14.03–21.885.47–12.5919.50–34.47safer12.94–22.974.51–13.5517.45–36.52
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.545.7918.33safe9.60–15.493.11–8.4712.71–23.96safer8.77–16.322.37–9.2111.14–25.52
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.076.93safe2.98–6.740.42–3.733.40–10.47safer2.43–7.280.00–4.222.36–11.50
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.503.1910.69safe5.29–9.721.19–5.196.48–14.90safer4.71–10.290.65–5.725.37–16.01
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.3137.94safe55.52–69.1031.15–44.72safer53.85–70.7729.48–46.39
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction626363989safe558–693296–429855–1122safer540–711279–447819–1158
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction80.2770.65safe76.24–84.3066.32–74.97safer74.95–85.5965.01–76.28
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8110.7320.54safe6.97–12.657.78–13.6714.75–26.32safer6.21–13.407.03–14.4213.25–27.82
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.683.75safe0.91–3.230.58–2.771.50–6.00safer0.61–3.530.30–3.060.91–6.59
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.223.47safe0.20–2.301.09–3.351.29–5.65safer0.00–2.570.80–3.640.73–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.130.18safe0.00–0.200.00–0.320.00–0.52safer0.00–0.350.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.666.82safe0.72–3.593.11–6.223.83–9.82safer0.33–3.982.68–6.653.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.80 1.83–3.77 1.58–4.02 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.73 1.90–5.55 1.42–6.03 | 76% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.41 5.55–9.28 5.06–9.77 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 10.81 7.21–14.42 6.25–15.37 | 86% |
| Total shots | 17.96 14.03–21.88 12.94–22.97 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 26.99 19.50–34.47 17.45–36.52 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.54 9.60–15.49 8.77–16.32 | 5.79 3.11–8.47 2.37–9.21 | 18.33 12.71–23.96 11.14–25.52 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.74 2.43–7.28 | 2.07 0.42–3.73 0.00–4.22 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.50 5.29–9.72 4.71–10.29 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.65–5.72 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.31 55.52–69.10 53.85–70.77 | 37.94 31.15–44.72 29.48–46.39 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 626 558–693 540–711 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 989 855–1122 819–1158 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.27 76.24–84.30 74.95–85.59 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.01–76.28 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.81 6.97–12.65 6.21–13.40 | 10.73 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 20.54 14.75–26.32 13.25–27.82 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.75 1.50–6.00 0.91–6.59 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.73–6.21 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 4.66 3.11–6.22 2.68–6.65 | 6.82 3.83–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.