Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.153.20safe0.08–2.021.29–3.001.38–5.02safer0.00–2.271.07–3.230.90–5.50
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.556.359.90safe1.69–5.414.60–8.096.29–13.50safer1.20–5.904.14–8.555.34–14.46
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1417.2628.40safe7.22–15.0713.69–20.8220.91–35.88safer6.12–16.1612.73–21.7818.86–37.93
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4911.8118.31safe3.55–9.449.13–14.4912.68–23.93safer2.72–10.278.39–15.2311.12–25.50
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.915.228.13safe1.03–4.793.57–6.874.59–11.67safer0.48–5.333.08–7.373.56–12.70
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.969.64safe1.47–5.893.96–7.965.43–13.86safer0.89–6.473.43–8.504.32–14.96
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.0161.40safe31.22–44.8054.61–68.18safer29.55–46.4752.94–69.86
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction379592970safe311–446525–658837–1104safer293–464508–676801–1140
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction66.4380.78safe62.40–70.4676.46–85.10safer61.11–71.7575.15–86.41
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6710.7221.39safe7.83–13.507.78–13.6715.61–27.17safer7.07–14.267.03–14.4214.10–28.68
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.993.99safe0.85–3.170.89–3.081.74–6.25safer0.55–3.470.60–3.371.15–6.84
Yellow cards
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.473.12safe0.60–2.700.34–2.600.94–5.30safer0.33–2.960.05–2.890.38–5.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.436.48safe2.62–5.490.87–3.993.49–9.47safer2.23–5.880.45–4.412.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.15 1.29–3.00 1.07–3.23 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.41 1.20–5.90 | 6.35 4.60–8.09 4.14–8.55 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.34–14.46 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.14 7.22–15.07 6.12–16.16 | 17.26 13.69–20.82 12.73–21.78 | 28.40 20.91–35.88 18.86–37.93 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 6.49 3.55–9.44 2.72–10.27 | 11.81 9.13–14.49 8.39–15.23 | 18.31 12.68–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.03–4.79 0.48–5.33 | 5.22 3.57–6.87 3.08–7.37 | 8.13 4.59–11.67 3.56–12.70 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.89 0.89–6.47 | 5.96 3.96–7.96 3.43–8.50 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 38.01 31.22–44.80 29.55–46.47 | 61.40 54.61–68.18 52.94–69.86 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 379 311–446 293–464 | 592 525–658 508–676 | 970 837–1104 801–1140 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.43 62.40–70.46 61.11–71.75 | 80.78 76.46–85.10 75.15–86.41 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 10.72 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 21.39 15.61–27.17 14.10–28.68 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.37 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.85 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.05 2.62–5.49 2.23–5.88 | 2.43 0.87–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.