Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.753.76safe0.04–1.981.90–3.611.94–5.59safer0.00–2.231.67–3.841.46–6.07
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.307.0810.37safe1.43–5.165.33–8.826.77–13.98safer0.94–5.654.87–9.295.81–14.93
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1917.1827.37safe6.27–14.1213.62–20.7419.89–34.86safer5.18–15.2112.66–21.7017.84–36.91
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4611.4517.92safe3.52–9.418.77–14.1312.29–23.54safer2.69–10.248.03–14.8710.73–25.11
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.955.017.97safe1.07–4.833.36–6.674.43–11.50safer0.53–5.382.87–7.163.40–12.54
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction4.036.6310.65safe1.82–6.244.63–8.636.44–14.87safer1.24–6.824.09–9.165.33–15.98
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.9559.22safe34.16–47.7452.44–66.01safer32.49–49.4150.77–67.68
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction372529902safe305–439463–596768–1035safer287–457445–613732–1071
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction65.2978.07safe61.26–69.3273.74–82.39safer59.97–70.6172.43–83.70
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7511.1020.85safe6.91–12.598.15–14.0415.07–26.63safer6.16–13.347.40–14.7913.56–28.14
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.723.49safe0.61–2.930.63–2.821.24–5.75safer0.31–3.230.34–3.100.65–6.34
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.783.74safe0.91–3.000.65–2.911.56–5.91safer0.64–3.270.36–3.201.00–6.47
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.436.62safe2.75–5.620.88–3.993.63–9.62safer2.36–6.010.45–4.412.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.75 1.90–3.61 1.67–3.84 | 3.76 1.94–5.59 1.46–6.07 | 15% 74% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.43–5.16 0.94–5.65 | 7.08 5.33–8.82 4.87–9.29 | 10.37 6.77–13.98 5.81–14.93 | 85% |
| Total shots | 10.19 6.27–14.12 5.18–15.21 | 17.18 13.62–20.74 12.66–21.70 | 27.37 19.89–34.86 17.84–36.91 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.46 3.52–9.41 2.69–10.24 | 11.45 8.77–14.13 8.03–14.87 | 17.92 12.29–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.53–5.38 | 5.01 3.36–6.67 2.87–7.16 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 4.03 1.82–6.24 1.24–6.82 | 6.63 4.63–8.63 4.09–9.16 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.98 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 40.95 34.16–47.74 32.49–49.41 | 59.22 52.44–66.01 50.77–67.68 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 529 463–596 445–613 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.29 61.26–69.32 59.97–70.61 | 78.07 73.74–82.39 72.43–83.70 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.75 6.91–12.59 6.16–13.34 | 11.10 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.79 | 20.85 15.07–26.63 13.56–28.14 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 3.49 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.74 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.75–5.62 2.36–6.01 | 2.43 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 6.62 3.63–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 69% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.