Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.773.48safe1.74–3.680.00–1.621.65–5.30safer1.49–3.930.00–1.851.17–5.78
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.762.9010.66safe5.89–9.621.16–4.657.05–14.26safer5.40–10.110.69–5.116.10–15.22
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.599.0131.59safe18.66–26.515.45–12.5724.11–39.08safer17.57–27.604.49–13.5322.06–41.13
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.945.5621.49safe12.99–18.882.88–8.2415.87–27.12safer12.16–19.712.14–8.9814.30–28.68
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.922.508.42safe4.04–7.810.85–4.154.89–11.96safer3.50–8.350.36–4.653.85–13.00
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.293.2211.51safe6.08–10.501.22–5.227.30–15.72safer5.50–11.080.69–5.756.19–16.83
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4937.82safe55.70–69.2831.04–44.61safer54.03–70.9529.37–46.28
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction589359948safe522–656293–426815–1082safer504–674275–443779–1118
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction77.5768.42safe73.54–81.6064.09–72.74safer72.25–82.8962.78–74.05
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.899.7919.68safe7.06–12.736.84–12.7313.90–25.47safer6.30–13.496.10–13.4812.40–26.97
Offsides
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.603.39safe0.62–2.950.51–2.691.13–5.64safer0.32–3.250.22–2.980.54–6.23
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.843.03safe0.14–2.240.71–2.960.85–5.21safer0.00–2.510.42–3.260.29–5.76
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.896.94safe0.61–3.483.34–6.453.94–9.93safer0.22–3.872.91–6.873.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.74–3.68 1.49–3.93 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.48 1.65–5.30 1.17–5.78 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.76 5.89–9.62 5.40–10.11 | 2.90 1.16–4.65 0.69–5.11 | 10.66 7.05–14.26 6.10–15.22 | 91% |
| Total shots | 22.59 18.66–26.51 17.57–27.60 | 9.01 5.45–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 31.59 24.11–39.08 22.06–41.13 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.94 12.99–18.88 12.16–19.71 | 5.56 2.88–8.24 2.14–8.98 | 21.49 15.87–27.12 14.30–28.68 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.92 4.04–7.81 3.50–8.35 | 2.50 0.85–4.15 0.36–4.65 | 8.42 4.89–11.96 3.85–13.00 | 85% |
| Corners | 8.29 6.08–10.50 5.50–11.08 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.69–5.75 | 11.51 7.30–15.72 6.19–16.83 | 92% |
| Possession % | 62.49 55.70–69.28 54.03–70.95 | 37.82 31.04–44.61 29.37–46.28 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 589 522–656 504–674 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.57 73.54–81.60 72.25–82.89 | 68.42 64.09–72.74 62.78–74.05 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.89 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 9.79 6.84–12.73 6.10–13.48 | 19.68 13.90–25.47 12.40–26.97 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.62–2.95 0.32–3.25 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.84 0.71–2.96 0.42–3.26 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.29–5.76 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.89 3.34–6.45 2.91–6.87 | 6.94 3.94–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+