Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.212.96safe0.78–2.720.36–2.061.14–4.78safer0.53–2.970.13–2.290.66–5.26
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.6810.42safe3.87–7.602.94–6.436.81–14.02safer3.38–8.092.47–6.895.86–14.98
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9213.6129.53safe12.00–19.8510.04–17.1722.04–37.02safer10.91–20.949.08–18.1319.99–39.07
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.958.4019.35safe8.01–13.905.72–11.0813.73–24.98safer7.18–14.724.98–11.8212.16–26.54
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.728.10safe2.49–6.262.07–5.384.56–11.63safer1.95–6.801.58–5.873.53–12.67
Corners
56%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction6.325.3211.64safe4.11–8.543.32–7.327.43–15.86safer3.54–9.112.79–7.856.32–16.97
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4349.29safe44.64–58.2242.50–56.07safer42.97–59.8940.83–57.75
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction461414874safe394–528347–480741–1008safer375–546330–498705–1044
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction66.7669.38safe62.73–70.7965.06–73.70safer61.44–72.0863.75–75.01
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2410.8522.08safe8.40–14.077.90–13.7916.30–27.87safer7.64–14.837.15–14.5414.80–29.37
Offsides
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.132.59safe0.31–2.630.03–2.220.34–4.85safer0.01–2.930.00–2.510.00–5.44
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.623.01safe0.35–2.440.49–2.740.83–5.19safer0.08–2.710.20–3.040.27–5.75
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.324.117.43safe1.88–4.762.55–5.674.44–10.42safer1.50–5.142.13–6.093.62–11.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.21 0.36–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.87–7.60 3.38–8.09 | 4.68 2.94–6.43 2.47–6.89 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.92 12.00–19.85 10.91–20.94 | 13.61 10.04–17.17 9.08–18.13 | 29.53 22.04–37.02 19.99–39.07 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.18–14.72 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.82 | 19.35 13.73–24.98 12.16–26.54 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.49–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 3.72 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 8.10 4.56–11.63 3.53–12.67 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 5.32 3.32–7.32 2.79–7.85 | 11.64 7.43–15.86 6.32–16.97 | 56% 33% |
| Possession % | 51.43 44.64–58.22 42.97–59.89 | 49.29 42.50–56.07 40.83–57.75 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 375–546 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.76 62.73–70.79 61.44–72.08 | 69.38 65.06–73.70 63.75–75.01 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.07 7.64–14.83 | 10.85 7.90–13.79 7.15–14.54 | 22.08 16.30–27.87 14.80–29.37 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.13 0.03–2.22 0.00–2.51 | 2.59 0.34–4.85 0.00–5.44 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.35–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.62 0.49–2.74 0.20–3.04 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.75 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.76 1.50–5.14 | 4.11 2.55–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 7.43 4.44–10.42 3.62–11.23 | 32% 14% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+